Republicans Are Losing Their Midterm Advantage
Timcast News
Timcast Media
4.6 • 7.4K Ratings
🗓️ 4 November 2018
⏱️ 13 minutes
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Summary
Republicans Are Losing Their Midterm Advantage. Though they still do have a gain of around 400k votes above the Democrats, Republicans percentage lead compared to 2014 is much lower.
This may be due to a massive increase in young voters and new voters. According to early voter data Democrats have gained 1.1M votes among the youth demo compared to about 500k for Republicans.
If Early voter turnout favors Republicans this could be Good news for Democrats going into Tuesday.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | According to the latest polls, the Republicans are still expected to lose the House majority, |
| 0:04.9 | but retain the Senate. |
| 0:05.9 | The issue is, the polls were wrong in 2016 when it came to Donald Trump. |
| 0:10.8 | And I can't imagine that these polling companies have updated their methodology to correct it |
| 0:16.4 | for the mistakes they made in 2016. |
| 0:18.4 | The predictions were wrong, the polls were wrong. |
| 0:20.5 | However, early voting data suggests Republicans may be losing their edge. |
| 0:25.4 | A couple of weeks ago, we heard that an early and absentee voting Republicans had a huge |
| 0:29.0 | lead. |
| 0:30.0 | But according to the latest data, it looks like their percentage lead over the Democrats |
| 0:33.4 | compared to the last mint term is actually much, much lower. |
| 0:36.9 | So perhaps all of the rhetoric and all of the media has really riled people up to get out |
| 0:40.9 | and vote. |
| 0:41.9 | And that's why we're seeing record early voting turnout. |
| 0:44.7 | However, young people are turning out in massive numbers, and this could be bad news for |
| 0:50.2 | Republicans because young people tend to vote Democrats. |
| 0:53.3 | So today, let's take a look at all of the relevant data and ask the question, are the |
| 0:57.3 | polls wrong again or are the polls being proven right by the latest data? |
| 1:02.3 | But before we get started, please head over to patreon.com forward slash Timcast to help support |
| 1:06.3 | my work. |
| 1:07.3 | Patrons of the backbone of the content I create, so if you're fan of these videos and you |
| 1:10.5 | want to see more, then head over to patreon.com forward slash Timcast to become a patron |
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