Really Good Sunday NBA Bets
The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri
Sal Vetri
5.0 β’ 784 Ratings
ποΈ 13 March 2022
β±οΈ 7 minutes
ποΈ Recording | iTunes | RSS
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Really Good Sunday NBA Bets
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | There are some really good Sunday bets out there and let's start by going to the 76ers in Orlando Magic and let's look at James Harden. |
| 0:06.7 | The game environment is not looking that good as the 76ers are normally a slow pace team, but so are the Orlando Magic. |
| 0:12.7 | Now that being said, the 76ers still have a 118 team implied total, which is the third highest on the slate. But we have to be careful here because they are 12.5 point favorite, which is always, |
| 0:22.2 | you know, you get a little bit of a blowout situation, which can hurt the minutes of the |
| 0:26.0 | starters and potentially hurts our wallets. |
| 0:28.4 | The Orlando Magic Defense has not been good on the overall season, ranking 21st in |
| 0:32.7 | defensive efficiency, but over the last two weeks, they're a top three unit. |
| 0:36.2 | And they've always been stout dating back to when they had Nikola Vucevich with being a top 10 rim protection team and their league average at defending the three ball. I mentioned those areas specifically because that's James Hardin's game, either getting to the basket or attempting the three ball, which he's doing at nearly a career high right now. So there's a couple of different stories we can tell ourselves with James Hardin. We can look at what he's done at Philadelphia over a small six-game sample, |
| 0:57.8 | and we can say this is one of the best, if not the best player in the NBA. A 49% assist percentage, |
| 1:02.6 | 16% defensive remodding rate, and shooting 44% from three-point range, which over that six-game |
| 1:07.6 | stretch is a career high. So anytime I mention career high, you can expect something to regress back to the mean |
| 1:13.2 | and not be sustainable. |
| 1:14.5 | Because in 44 games with the Nets this year, he was only shooting 34% from 3-point range. |
| 1:19.3 | He only had a 40% assist percentage, much lower than what he's currently producing. |
| 1:23.1 | So when we average them together, on the season this year, over over 48 minutes he has produced the following |
| 1:27.6 | 29 points 13 assists and 10 rebounds absolutely fantastic numbers now let's scale that back to |
| 1:33.0 | what he would likely play tonight around 36 minutes he would average 22 points nine |
| 1:37.5 | assists and seven rebounds on average so that is a total of 38 points rebounds and assists which |
| 1:42.0 | is under the 40 and a half prop that is set. |
| 1:44.7 | And this is important. Listen up. Open them of your balls up for a second here because if there |
| 1:48.6 | is a blowout, they are 12.5 point favorites to 76ers. If there is a blowout, he sees less than 36 |
| 1:53.3 | minutes, let's say 32 minutes, and this total rebounds and assist number goes even lower. |
... |
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