Monday NBA Best Bets
The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri
Sal Vetri
5.0 β’ 784 Ratings
ποΈ 14 March 2022
β±οΈ 4 minutes
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Monday NBA Best Bets
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | What's up fellas? Let's talk Monday's best bets starting in Milwaukee with Chris Middleton. |
| 0:04.0 | Now, Middleton's team today is not going to be the same as when it started the year due to |
| 0:07.4 | injury, but it's been this way for a couple of days and weeks now. The Bucks will continue to be |
| 0:11.4 | without George Hill and Pat Cunnington, who have both played around top five minutes for this team. |
| 0:15.6 | And the game environment is going to be right around average. The pace doesn't look like anything crazy. And the total, |
| 0:25.2 | as of right now, is not out yet, but the bucks do come out as two point favorites. So when I'm looking at Chris Middleton, the prop that stands out for me is going to be the points, |
| 0:28.9 | rebounds, and assists for this man. But over or under, let's find out. Now overall on the season, |
| 0:33.6 | Utah is a top 10 defensive efficiency team, and over the last two weeks, they've been right around that number being ninth overall. Chris Middleton so far this year is actually |
| 0:41.2 | seeing to this point career highs and usage rate at nearly 28% and an assist percentage at nearly |
| 0:46.2 | 25%. Those are solid numbers. All right, Sal, we get it. You're going to take the over then. Let's |
| 0:50.3 | hold up. Let's talk a little bit more before we decide. Chris Middleton shoots 45% of his shots, by far the most in his shot chart from the mid-range, and the Utah Jazz give up the fourth most shots from the mid-range. Okay, Sal, okay, just say you're taking the over. But I'm not. Mid-range shots are not effective, and although Chris Middleton makes them at a good clip, the Utah Jazz rank fourth overall in effective field goal rate by location. |
| 1:11.1 | And that's basically a lot of words to say they don't give up good shots. |
| 1:14.6 | You do not get clean looks against them. |
| 1:16.6 | Now let's look at what Chris Middleton is doing with no George Hill or Pat Connington on the court this year. |
| 1:20.6 | Per 48 minutes with those guys off the court, Middleton is averaging 27 points, 8 assists and 7 rebounds for for a total of 42 points rebounds and assists. |
| 1:28.5 | He's not going to play 48 minutes tonight. I currently haven't projected tonight for 34 minutes. |
| 1:32.6 | So those averages would scale down to 19 points, 5 and a half assists and 5 rebounds for a total of |
| 1:37.8 | 29.5 points rebounds and assists and his prop tonight is set at 32.5. So beautiful people, |
| 1:43.5 | we are taking the under. Now let's gather |
| 1:45.3 | up our hiking gear, get out of the Utah Mountains, and head over to Golden State, where I'm looking |
| 1:49.0 | at you, Clay Thompson. Clay Thompson's points, rebounds, and assists number is appealing to me, |
| 1:53.6 | and let me explain which side of it looks best. Like the Milwaukee Bucks, the Golden State Warriors |
... |
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