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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision's New President on the Dollar, Bonds, Bitcoin, and Tether: DB-Jan14,2021

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 15 January 2021

⏱️ 42 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Real Vision’s new president, Travis Kimmel, to the Daily Briefing. Travis shares his Real Vision journey from an entrepreneur to a self-taught investor and outlines his macro framework for thinking inflation, credit creation, and currency flows. Travis explains why he isn’t fully convinced by the reflation narrative and why he believes that fiscal aid is more likely papering over the cracks than truly providing economic stimulus. Travis shares his view of Bitcoin, which he calls “a curious beast” and “a tabula rasa for narratives.” Lastly, Travis tells Ed about his concerns about the stable coin Tether. In the intro, Real Vision’s Haley Draznin examines the markets reacting ahead of President-elect Biden’s stimulus speech this evening, and the implications of the jobless claims rising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

It's Thursday, January 14, 2021. This is the Real Vision Daily Briefing and I'm Ed Harrison.

0:19.0

I'm going to be joined shortly by a special guest, so I won't tell you until we get to him but first the news of the day from

0:26.2

Haley Drasnan.

0:27.2

Hey Ed stocks slipped on Thursday ahead of President-elect Biden's stimulus speech,

0:33.4

all three major indexes had risen earlier in the day,

0:36.9

only to give up their gains in the final hour

0:39.7

of the trading session.

0:41.2

The economy still needs help, and how Biden's proposed plan will impact

0:45.8

the real economy is key, especially when it comes to small businesses.

0:50.5

The plan is expected to include a boost to the recent $600 direct payment, an extension of increased unemployment insurance, and support for state and local governments.

1:02.0

The stimulus could be as big as 2 trillion.

1:05.2

This fiscal aid will help with the recent slump in economic activity.

1:09.4

I mean today, numbers released initial jobless claims data showed 965,000 Americans applied for unemployment

1:17.3

benefits in the week ending in January 9th.

1:20.2

That's more than was expected.

1:22.2

In fact, it's the highest since mid-August and well above the roughly

1:26.3

800,000 a week that we've seen on average in recent months. That number

1:35.0

again, again, isn't anything near the number we saw in April,

1:38.0

but it still doesn't paint a pretty picture.

1:40.0

In fact, it's four times more than the first two months in 2020.

1:44.6

Again, this was pre-Covid lockdowns, but we're essentially stuck at a level that's

1:49.2

four times where it should be. And these numbers show that the ADP and jobs reports from December were not really

...

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