Good morning. It's Saturday, May 6th. I want to start this hour with math. That's always a ratings winner.

The math of the great gerrymandering war of 2026. You know this was triggered by Donald Trump.

Republicans trying to rack up extra seats in Congress

without having to actually earn any more votes to do so. On paper, I think it's fair to say Republicans

are winning. Democrats stand to gain about five seats in California, one in Utah, believe it or not,

but Republicans stand to gain as many as 14 seats across Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.

And Republicans in three more states, Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina are in the process

of changing their maps to eliminate three more Democratic-held seats between them.

If all of that succeeds, Republicans are looking at up to 15 net seats gained. There's a lot of ways to do

this math, but think about it as 15 for now. There's a lot more to this math than maps. For one,

the national political environment. Donald Trump and his policies are not popular with the American

people, and Republican candidates across the country are going to be on the hook for

some of those policies. In a new Reuters-Ipsos poll, 41% of registered voters say they'd vote for a Democrat

in their district if the election were held today. Now, 41 sounds a little low, given how unpopular Donald Trump is,

but 41% is a six-point advantage over Republicans. In that same poll, 36% of Americans

approve of Donald Trump's job as president, 63% disapproved. So that's a 27-point deficit.

There's also the arrogance of gerrymandering, a believing that voters are not going to care what

is done to their districts.

They will vote within the expectations of whomever drew or redrew the lines.

In fact, one of the five Republicans in South Carolina who voted against a redistricting proposal,

State Senate Majority Leader Shane Massey warned that making that assumption could blow up in Republicans' faces.

Very candidly, you're going to motivate Black turnout.

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