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Tesla Daily: Tesla News & Analysis

Q4 Consensus & Expectations, Updated Short Interest, Coronavirus (01.27.20)

Tesla Daily: Tesla News & Analysis

Rob Maurer

Tech News, Technology, News

4.81.1K Ratings

🗓️ 28 January 2020

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

- Quick discussion on coronavirus and the impact to Tesla and the auto market
- Updated short interest for the 01/15/20 settlement date
- FactSet consensus estimates for Q4 and full-year 2020
- Some expectations for the earnings report later this week

Links:
Email: tesladailypodcast@gmail.com
Twitter: @teslapodcast
Patreon: patreon.com/tesladailypodcast

Ludicrous producer Vincent Smith
Executive producer Rob Gill
Executive producer Rish Singh
Executive producer Nick Wood
Executive producer Fela Winkelmolen
Executive producer Troy Cherasaro
Executive producer Bradford Ferguson
Music by Evan Schaeffer

Disclosure: Rob Maurer is long TSLA stock & derivatives

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hello and welcome to the Monday January 27th

0:10.0

2020 edition of Tesla Daily on Official Tesla Podcast.

0:13.0

My name is Rob Maower, another pretty quiet news day today as we head into earnings,

0:16.6

but we do have updated short interest to look at, and also the facts that consensus estimates for Q4.

0:22.0

Tesla stock on the day today was down but actually a pretty strong day relative to the macro

0:25.8

environment.

0:26.8

Finishing down 1.2% to $58.2 cents, that compared to the NASDAQ down 1.9% as coronavirus continues to pressure the broader markets.

0:36.3

Alex Potter, the analyst at formerly Piper Jeffrey, now Piper Sandler,

0:40.4

had an interesting note on this comparing it to the SARS outbreak in 2003, noting that the

0:45.3

coronavirus quote is obviously impacting sentiment and many of our China-levard

0:49.7

auto and truck names have been selling off, end quote.

0:52.6

But after looking at the data around SARS in 2003,

0:55.7

he found that actually there was a slightly positive impact

0:58.4

on short-term demand for autos in China,

1:01.0

which they hypothesized was driven by the goal of people to limit their public

1:05.3

transportation to avoid human contact where possible.

1:08.6

Interestingly, they also noticed that consumers tended to avoid dealers at this time instead preferring to purchase and

1:14.1

research online which in 2003 was not the easiest of tasks and they also found that

1:19.2

price sensitivity declined during this period of time so clearly all of those would work in Tesla's favor,

1:24.3

so there shouldn't be any huge concern

1:25.7

that this would impact Tesla too much from a demand perspective.

1:28.8

And in fact, for the model S and the model X

...

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