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The Dividend Cafe

Price Discovery and the Human Spirit

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Investing, Monetary Policy, Estate Planning, Business, Dividend Growth Investing, Retirement Planning, Wealth Management, Macro Economics

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 7 August 2020

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this week’s Dividend Cafe we will:

  1. Summarize this week’s action in the market, with a summary of the better-than-expected July jobs report
  2. Look at the intense pursuit for a COVID vaccine and what that means for markets
  3. Add a little detail and caveat to the current market rally, and big tech’s role within it!
  4. Discuss what it will taken to energize midstream energy
  5. Correct the record on Q2 GDP growth
  6. Think through the growing tensions with China
  7. Simulate the stimulus
  8. Look under the hood of the current state of the economy (pretty extensively), covering manufacturing, auto sales, hotel traffic, restaurant traffic, and all the things …
  9. Politics & Money – the polls are tightening, and we look at a long-held theory about predicting the Presidential winner …
  10. Chart of the Week – our cup runneth over with optimism for dividend growth, thanks to present conditions, and past lessons
  11. Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:12.6

Hello and welcome to this week's Dividend Cafe podcast. Welcome those of you watching on video as well.

0:20.5

I'm so used to saying every night, welcome to the COVID markets podcast. Welcome those of you watching on video as well. I'm so used to saying every night,

0:22.8

welcome to the COVID and markets podcast, which we do through Dividing Cafe every weekday,

0:29.0

but, you know, the big daddy remains the Dividend Cafe, which I intend to be my weekly

0:34.7

market commentary that I would love to do for the rest of my life.

0:39.9

And this week has been an eventful week. There's a number of different topics we're going

0:45.3

to walk through today. I think there's one kind of central theme that I'm hoping all people

0:51.2

will take away, whether they're reading the Dividing Cafe commentary

0:55.4

or whether you're listening or watching right now as I'm speaking, the issues that are pretty

1:02.2

prevalent throughout the new cycle and throughout the economy and throughout a lot of market

1:06.6

data invite me to talk to you all about this concept of price discovery.

1:15.0

And so that may sound somewhat complicated and also may sound irrelevant and for some of you

1:22.7

it may sound really boring.

1:24.2

I'm going to try to make it none of the above here in a moment.

1:27.3

The theme that is going to

1:29.2

lead us to this talk about price discovery is something that I think all of us can relate to right now,

1:33.6

which is the consistent news of things being less bad than expected. And, you know, more and

1:41.6

more, we're hearing reports, we're getting data, we're seeing kind of finality

1:45.0

of data points and studies and reports and, you know, all these things, all of which are

1:51.2

backward looking, of course, where stuff was really bad. And there's nothing coming out.

1:56.5

There's no data point coming out that someone goes, wow, this is really good.

...

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