"PREVIEW: STARLINK: Colleague Henry Sokolski explores whether LEO communication constellations like Starlink constitute space militarization and risk countermeasures. More later."
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 10 January 2025
⏱️ 3 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is John Batchel, speaking with colleague Henry Sikolsky of the Non-Proliferation Policy Education |
| 0:06.6 | Center, about lower earth orbit and the militarization of lower earth orbit, which, according to |
| 0:12.9 | the space treaty is forbidden. But then again, Henry makes the case, and others have as well, |
| 0:18.9 | that the constellation of satellites we call Starlink and the |
| 0:22.5 | prospect of more of the same. Kuiper, for example, for Jeff Bezos and Amazon, not yet |
| 0:30.7 | deployed, but the plans are there. Do those constitute militarization of space? |
| 0:38.2 | Certainly, they are communications tools that can be used in the event of war fighting, hence the example of Ukraine. |
| 0:46.9 | Does that mean that anti-satellite weaponry into orbit is just answering a provocation already, |
| 0:57.3 | with Starlink and Kuiper and other systems from Russia, from Japan, from India, from other commercial enterprises. It's a question that has not |
| 1:03.9 | been answered yet. Henry Sikovsky on militarization in space and how we need to prepare for it and game it out. |
| 1:12.8 | Much more of this later. |
| 1:14.7 | I think the way to think about large constellations in low Earth orbit is that in the face |
| 1:22.7 | of possible anti-satellite threats like lasers that are based on the surface of the earth, |
| 1:30.7 | direct ascent, and even satellites that maneuver, they call them rendezvous satellites, |
| 1:40.2 | that could defuel damage or move out of proper orbit. |
| 1:46.0 | Against all these threats, the argument that has been made by our military is that if we have enough |
| 1:52.0 | small satellites in the thousands in lower orbit, it would be very difficult for anyone to disable the entire system, |
| 2:06.0 | and then therefore as a passive military defense against anti-satellite activity, which is present. |
| 2:13.5 | So you could argue that things are militarized to the extent there's anti-satellite problems already, |
| 2:19.7 | but that the small satellites that have large numbers in low Earth orbit will constitute a military defense. |
| 2:29.8 | I think that's going to be something that Trump administration is going to question. |
| 2:36.8 | And it's already begun. |
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