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The John Batchelor Show

PREVIEW: #PRC: #THIRD PLENUM: Conversation with colleague Anne Stevenson-Yang, author WILD RIDE, re if Xi has a plan B for a troubled economy of collapsed housing, tariff-restricted manufacturing and absent consumers? More tonight.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Books, News, Society & Culture, Arts

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 3 July 2024

⏱️ 1 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

PREVIEW: #PRC: #THIRD PLENUM: Conversation with colleague Anne Stevenson-Yang, author WILD RIDE, re if Xi has a plan B for a troubled economy of collapsed housing, tariff-restricted manufacturing and absent consumers? More tonight.

1920 Hong Kong

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is John Bachelor, conversation with Gordon Chang and Anne Stevenson Yang.

0:05.0

I anticipate in the third plenem in China in which

0:08.0

Shijin ping needs reforms but is likely not to accept them.

0:13.0

Why?

0:14.0

Because the Chinese property market has collapsed.

0:16.0

The Chinese consumer will not spend putting the money into gold or under the mattress.

0:22.0

And the Chinese manufacturing sector the money into gold or under the mattress.

0:23.3

And the Chinese manufacturing sector is severely restricted, complaining all the time, doesn't

0:28.6

have enough business, and the Red Sea shipping has driven container prices up.

0:33.2

So I asked Anne, is there a plan B?

0:36.2

Anne's answer is blunt, straightforward,

0:38.6

and why there cannot be a plan B.

0:41.6

Why she Jinping is boxed in by his own ideology. Here's Anne

0:46.1

Stevenson Yang, author of the new book Wild Ride. More of this tonight.

0:52.4

There can't be a plan B because investment-driven economies just run short of investment once the bad assets and the debt grow too high.

1:01.0

So you have to shift the structure entirely and changing the

1:05.0

structure entirely means that the Communist Party doesn't have power anymore and

1:11.6

that's just not going to happen so they can't change it.

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