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The John Batchelor Show

PREVIEW: IRAN/HEZBOLLAH/LEBANON: FDD analyst David Daoud examines Tehran and Hezbollah's strategy - using escalation threats to pressure U.S. and European powers toward imposing Israel ceasefire. More tonight.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Books, News, Society & Culture, Arts

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 18 November 2024

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

PREVIEW: IRAN/HEZBOLLAH/LEBANON: FDD analyst David Daoud examines Tehran and Hezbollah's strategy - using escalation threats to pressure U.S. and European powers toward imposing Israel ceasefire. More tonight.

1881 Beirut Castle

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is John Batchel, conversation with colleague David Dauud of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies,

0:07.5

about Hezbollah's ambition to stop the Israeli war by having international pressure weigh in.

0:15.3

The usual threat, if you don't stop this, it'll become a wider war.

0:19.9

Is it working?

0:21.5

David analyzes not only the international community, but also the Lebanese government

0:26.0

and the pressure being put on all players in the region to stop the idea of successes

0:31.7

and return to where the war started, which is Hezbollah's complete control of Lebanon and the northern

0:40.4

border of Israel. Here's David Dayud of the FD to explain. Much more of this later.

0:47.0

I mean, I think there is definitely an element of that, irrespective of whether it's being reported

0:51.6

in the news or not, the Iranians have been playing a pressure game from the outset of before this conflict spread into Lebanon, using the international's

1:02.2

communities, the international community's fear of Gaza turning into a regional conflagration,

1:08.2

they've been saying the continuation of the war means regional

1:12.6

conflagration, so stop the war. That logic continues to operate when it comes to Lebanon.

1:17.9

Hey, if you don't want this spreading and getting out of hand, stop the Israelis in Lebanon.

1:23.3

I think the international community has kind of moved on from that.

1:26.9

Where Hezbollah is betting elsewhere, though, is on the apparatuses of the Lebanese state,

1:32.2

particularly Nabih Birri, the Speaker of Parliament, who, you know, he's an ally slash rival of Hezbollah,

1:40.1

but he's been known to play the political side of the military coin that Hezbo is playing.

1:47.3

This goes back to 2006 where he did this, where he hasbel is fighting.

1:52.9

And he's using the legitimacy he has as someone who the West will talk to to achieve a ceasefire.

1:59.3

Now he's doing the same thing.

2:00.3

Hasbola has said, we have

...

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