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The John Batchelor Show

Preview: HOTEL MARS: SpaceX: Conversation with SpaceX watcher Dr. Doug Plata regarding a timeline for the development and goals of Starship and Super Heavy in the next ten years. More later.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

News, Arts, Books, Society & Culture

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 16 October 2024

⏱️ 2 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Preview: HOTEL MARS: SpaceX: Conversation with SpaceX watcher Dr. Doug Plata regarding a timeline for the development and goals of Starship and Super Heavy in the next ten years. More later.

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is John Batcher, conversation with Dr. Doug Plata following SpaceX's success of Test V for Starship and Super Heavy.

0:08.0

David Livingston joins Hotel Mars.

0:11.0

We're discussing the next and the next and the vision for this

0:17.1

combination of a Starship that can travel to the Moon and Mars or low Earth orbit and super heavy which is

0:26.6

recovered in this in this test five meaning lowering the cost of tonnage into orbit and beyond the Earth Moon system.

0:37.0

Doug Plattah gives us a timeline to expect, knowing that Elon Musk, the guru driver of this operation, expects the timelines

0:50.1

to be beaten, not lost to.

0:54.0

2029, 2030, 2031, somewhere in that zone.

0:58.0

They're looking at cargo on the surface of Mars

1:02.0

and humans on the surface of Mars and humans on the surface of Mars pending events.

1:07.0

Here's Dr. Doug Plata describing the timeline for SpaceX.

1:13.0

much more of this tonight.

1:15.0

It's a step by step sort of thing.

1:17.0

They do need to continue doing these test launches.

1:21.0

They do, and I think there's going to be a challenge.

1:24.0

They're going to need to recover that upper stage

1:26.7

because that is the stage that's going to be used

1:29.2

to launch propellant up into lower orbit to a depot there that they are going to need to be able

1:36.7

to go to the moon and to Mars. And in terms of the timeline, I think that they are looking towards the late 20s probably 2027

1:49.8

perhaps to deliver cargo to the moon and in the later NASA astronauts and then they are

1:58.8

looking at actually 2026 to launch five of these starships trying to deliver cargo to the surface of Mars,

2:06.8

and depending on how well it goes, if they can safely and routinely land cargo and Mars, we're looking, the earliest would be 2029, I think that's very optimistic,

...

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