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The John Batchelor Show

PREVIEW: CHINA THREAT: PHILIPPINES: TAIWAN Conversation from 2021 with author Elbridge Colby, "THE STRATEGY OF DENIAL," regarding the likely scenario of the PRC seeking to split any coalition formed in opposition (AUKUS, QUAD) by intimidating the weakest

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

News, Arts, Books, Society & Culture

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 22 September 2024

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

PREVIEW: CHINA THREAT: PHILIPPINES: TAIWAN

Conversation from 2021 with author Elbridge Colby, "THE STRATEGY OF DENIAL," regarding the likely scenario of the PRC seeking to split any coalition formed in opposition (AUKUS, QUAD) by intimidating the weakest member -- which is what Beijing is now doing in the South China Sea against Manila. More details later.

1921 Philippines

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is John Batcher, conversation with Elbridge Colby in 2021.

0:05.0

Very helpful to review.

0:07.0

This is Elbridge's work on The Strategy of Denial,

0:11.0

a book he published in 2021 to Great Fanfare.

0:14.8

These years later, he's a sizable voice in the defense of the United States and

0:21.4

our allies in East Asia.

0:23.0

Strategy of Denial is about building a coalition and building the pieces you need to make

0:31.0

China pay a very big price if it moves against any one of the coalition.

0:36.0

Three years later we have Aukis, we have certainly a relationship between Japan, South Korea, and the United States. We have the

0:44.8

Philippines in the United States, Australia, weighing in not only in August but in

0:50.4

the Quad, more relationships will follow all identified by Elbridge Colby in

0:57.8

2021 as a coalition however must concern ourselves as Elbridge, as Bridge here warns of breaking up a coalition.

1:07.3

It can be done.

1:09.2

He's very careful here to say, don't go after Japan Japan and then he identifies the Philippines as a possible

1:16.3

target that's what China is aiming for now and Taiwan that is the big question is Elbridge Colby from three years hence, his book on the strategy of denial.

1:27.0

More of this later.

1:29.0

So Egypt begins right away.

1:32.0

They are trying to bring it into this.

1:34.4

Look, they're still somewhat ambivalent about Israel, but they are allied with Israel

1:40.2

in very clear ways against the Muslim Brotherhood and against Iran and against other

1:45.0

extremists that have tried to exploit the Sinai Peninsula. But Egypt's number

1:49.8

one goal is to bring Hamas to heal and And so they begin working the phones.

...

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