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The John Batchelor Show

#PRC: DOOM LOOP. Alan Tonelson, independent economic policy analyst who blogs at RealityChek and tweets at @AlanTonelson:. @GORDONGCHANG, GATESTONE, NEWSWEEK, THE HILL

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Arts, Books, News, Society & Culture

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 5 September 2024

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

#PRC: DOOM LOOP.
Alan Tonelson, independent economic policy analyst who blogs at RealityChek and tweets at @AlanTonelson:. @GORDONGCHANG, GATESTONE, NEWSWEEK, THE HILL
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/chinas-real-economic-crisis-zongyuan-liu
SHANGHAI 1920

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is a series. I on the world. I'm John Bachelors. My colleague and co-host and we're very pleased to welcome Alan Tonelson, our guru on manufacturing and global trade these last decades,

0:17.4

guiding us to understand what we can of the mysteries of the non-transparent and deliberately deceptive Chinese manufacturing numbers.

0:28.0

Although I report to you, Alan, that Bloomberg says,

0:31.0

Chinese factory activity is declined for the fourth straight month.

0:35.9

And then we come to a headline at the Distinguished Foreign Affairs.

0:39.9

China's real economic crisis, why Beijing won't give up on a failing model. Odd, a

0:46.7

failing model. My understanding is that Shijinping is concerned with one thing which is control, requiring surveillance, requiring

0:58.0

what we would call interference in people's lives, not prosperity.

1:03.6

Is that the failing model that the surveillance

1:07.1

no longer working for him?

1:08.4

Good evening to you, Alan.

1:10.3

Hi, John, and hi Gordon. There's, that's absolutely right but there's one other problem with

1:16.4

Zijin ping's view of the world of the economy and even of Chinese society and that is that as the Wall Street Journal's economic

1:25.8

columnist Greg Giff pointed out the other day, Zizhin Ping and presumably the rest of the Chinese leadership,

1:34.1

the top leadership, views fostering personal consumption

1:39.8

as a sign of weakness, as a sign of laziness, as a sign of what they call

1:45.7

welfareism. They want China to be a manufacturing, industrial, and

1:51.6

technological superpower because that's the best way that they can advance China's goals

1:58.0

of continually increasing its influence over all aspects of world affairs,

2:04.0

and boosting personal consumption in that respect doesn't cut it.

2:08.0

Gordon, you have a question for Alan.

2:10.0

Alan, because China's regime doesn't want to boost consumption.

...

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