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The Politics Guys

PG39: Bold Predictions, Does Iowa Matter, Juvenile Justice, Putin’s Corruption

The Politics Guys

Michael Baranowski

Politics, News

4.4783 Ratings

🗓️ 31 January 2016

⏱️ 37 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In the last Politics Guys before the Iowa Caucuses, Mike and Jay make their predictions and talk about how much winning in Iowa really matters. Next, they look at some positive developments in the area of juvenile justice, an area in which there’s a real possibility of bipartisan reform. Finally, they talk about how Vladimir … Continue reading "PG39: Bold Predictions, Does Iowa Matter, Juvenile Justice, Putin’s Corruption"Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/the-politics-guys/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Give the gift of a world of knowledge this holiday season with The Economist.

0:05.4

Get access to trusted, fact-based global reporting and analysis, plus exclusive podcast,

0:11.1

insightful newsletters, films and more.

0:14.2

And here's the best part.

0:15.6

When you buy a subscription, you can give a second one for free.

0:19.3

Perfect for those who think big just like you.

0:22.3

So go to Economist.com slash holiday gifting offer to take advantage of this gifting offer ending soon.

0:33.2

Good morning, good afternoon, Good evening, wherever you are.

0:42.8

And welcome to the politics guys with your host, Jay Carson and Michael Baranowski.

0:53.1

Welcome to the politics guys. I'm Michael Baranowski, a political scientist at Northern Kentucky University.

0:59.5

My co-host this week, as always, is Cleveland Area Attorney and sometime Republican strategist, Jay Carson.

1:10.1

Although we record and release to politics guys on Sunday, most of our audience listens during the week, which means that by the time you hear this, the results of the Iowa caucuses will probably be in.

1:11.4

With that in mind,

1:16.7

we'll go easy on our analysis of last week's frantic dash to the finish line, which is actually the official starting line of the 2016 race. Instead, we're going to focus on what we think will happen

1:22.3

in Iowa and what it means going forward. And if nothing else, it'll give you an idea of what sort of

1:27.1

election forecast as we are. So to start off, it'll give you an idea of what sort of election

1:27.5

forecasters we are. So to start off, Jay, what do you think is going to happen in Iowa and why?

1:32.5

Starting with your people, the Republican side of things.

1:35.1

My people. Your people. You would call my people. They are your people. It's like the Ross

1:39.3

Perot thing of those you people. It's us versus them thing, you know, that people orient themselves to, you know, so yeah, absolutely.

1:47.9

Okay, we'll say sort of your people, at least.

1:50.6

Yes, Republican caucus goers.

...

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