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Naval

Pessimism Seems Like an Intellectually Serious Position

Naval

Naval Ravikant

Business, Technology

4.82.4K Ratings

🗓️ 17 May 2021

⏱️ 2 minutes

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Transcript http://nav.al/pessimism

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0:00.0

If you're an academic of some kind, then being able to explain all of the problems that

0:05.0

are out there and how dangerous these problems are and why you need funding in order to look

0:09.4

at these problems in more depth, that appears to be the intellectually serious position.

0:14.0

Someone who claims that we can solve this, it sounds a little bit cum-boy-r, even though

0:18.2

it's quite right, that in fact, collaboration, cooperation and resource exploitation will

0:23.4

actually be the thing that's going to drive this, the knowledge economy forward so that

0:27.2

we can solve with these problems, it always sounds more intellectually serious if you can

0:30.9

stand up there with a frown on your face in front of a TED Talk audience and say, these

0:34.3

are all the ways in which we're going to file and which we're going to come to ruin.

0:38.1

I'm guilty of having recorded one of these Doomserer podcasts about Enders blowing up

0:41.6

the Earth, but that was the one podcast that I regretted the most.

0:45.3

We had a great conversation, but I don't fundamentally agree with any of the conclusions

0:49.3

that might come out of that, which say the world is going to end, so we should slow down.

0:52.9

The only way out is through progress.

0:55.1

And subsequently, I haven't promoted as much as I promoted my third podcast and upon

0:58.8

reading Doich, I realize why.

1:00.4

It's because it's easy to be a pessimist.

1:02.4

It's an easy trap to fall into, but it implies that humans are not creative.

1:06.9

It doesn't acknowledge all the ways that we have innovated our way out of previous traps.

1:10.8

And fundamentally, entrepreneurs are inherently optimistic because they get rewarded for

1:15.2

being optimistic.

1:16.4

As you're saying, intellectuals get rewarded for being pessimistic.

...

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