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The Final Furlong Podcast

Paul Ferguson’s Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide: Handicaps Special | 8/1 & 5/1 NAPs

The Final Furlong Podcast

The Final Furlong Podcast

News, Sports News, Leisure, Hobbies, Sports

4.71.6K Ratings

🗓️ 4 March 2026

⏱️ 57 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Paul Ferguson, author of the Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide, joins Emmet Kennedy alongside Total Performance Data’s Adam Mills for a Cheltenham Festival Handicaps Special presented by 1xBet Ireland. This episode focuses on eight of the most competitive and potentially rewarding races of the week, highlighting the key horses to include in your shortlists, along with several big-priced selections that could make a difference during the Festival. Paul and Adam also put forward their leading bets, including an 8/1 NAP and a 6/1 NAP, as they break down where they see the strongest opportunities across the handicap programme. 🏇 RACES PREVIEWED: McCoy Contractors Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (2m½f) Racing Plate Handicap Chase (2m4f) National Hunt Challenge Cup Novices' Handicap Chase (3m6f) Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (2m) Jack Richards Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (Grade 2, 2m4f) Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle (3m) Kim Muir Challenge Cup Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase (3m2f) County Handicap Hurdle (2m) 🎯 WHAT YOU’LL GET: Shortlists for 8 key Cheltenham handicaps Paul Ferguson’s 8/1 NAP Adam Mills’ 6/1 NAP Big-priced runners to follow during the Festival Insight into how to approach competitive handicap races 🧠 WHY THIS EPISODE MATTERS: Cheltenham handicaps are often where the biggest prices land, but they require a different approach to Grade 1 races. This episode focuses on identifying value, building shortlists, and narrowing down large fields into realistic betting opportunities. BETTING PARTNER: Presented by 1xBet Ireland. More than 7000 events per day, fast withdrawals, and new customer specials. Sign up here: https://cutt.ly/0r7bzDoH 18+. T&Cs apply. Gamble responsibly. 📘 WEATHERBYS CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL BETTING GUIDE 2026 For serious Festival punters, this is the book that separates preparation from guesswork. Print & Digital Bundle available now at:https://weatherbysshop.ie or https://weatherbysshop.co.uk Use promo code FFCFBG26 for an exclusive discount on Print, Digital, or Bundle editions. 🎧 LISTEN & WATCH: Available on all podcast platforms, YouTube, and smart speakers. 🔔 FOLLOW THE FINAL FURLONG: Subscribe for daily Cheltenham previews, betting insights, and expert analysis throughout the Festival. 🔵 Presented by 1xBet Ireland. More than 7,000 events per day, fast withdrawals & new customer specials 👉 ⁠https://cutt.ly/0r7bzDoH ⁠18+. T&Cs apply. Gamble responsibly. Your game. Your odds. Your 1xBet. 🔔 Subscribe on YouTube for weekly reviews, previews & Festival insight🎧 Follow on Spotify, Apple & Podbean for instant episode drops💬 Comment: Who is your horse to follow from the weekend?👍 Like & share to support the show and grow the community ⚡ Proven Form: Winners tipped recently at 20/1, 16/1, 14/1, 12/1, and 10/1.🎯 Smart betting meets sharp analysis — only on The Final Furlong Podcast. 1xBet social media pages: Х: https://x.com/1xbet_ireland Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/1xbet.ie Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/1xbet.ie LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1xbet-ireland/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@1xBet_Ireland Form Tools: Proform is the essential tool for punters looking to make money from betting on Horse Racing. Our form book covers Jumps and Flat racing in the UK and Ireland. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.proformracing.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Twitter: @FinalFurlongPod Email: radioemmet@gmail.com In association with Adelicious Podcast Network. Hosted on Megaphone.  Follow us for free on Spotify Podcasts https://open.spotify.com/show/3e6NnBkr7MBstVx5U7lpld Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

The final furlong podcast is presented by OneX Bet Ireland.

0:04.0

With over 7,000 events available every day, fast withdrawals and exclusive new customer offers,

0:10.0

one X bet puts you in control.

0:12.1

18 plus only.

0:13.4

Please gamble responsibly.

0:15.1

And now here's your host, Emmett Kennedy.

0:17.8

Recording exactly one week from the beginning of the Cheltenham Festival. This is the Final Forlund podcast, Handicap Special in Association with Weatherby's Cheltenham Festival Bedding Guide, the author of which is Paul Ferguson, and he's alongside us. And a very special guest also joining us is the new chair of the BHA. Adam Mills, congratulations on your appointment. We look forward to your leadership. And I, for one, very much support your new dictatorship. Yeah, thanks, Emmett. You're still not getting an exclusive interview, so I'm not in my ass. Plenty of handicaps to get stuck into. Paul has managed to narrow it down to a window of a select few. So we're going to begin with the first handicap of Chutland, 2026, which is the Fred Winter, the juvenile hurdlers, the betting what one-ex bet is headed by Saratoga in Ireland.

0:56.7

Paul Ferguson, who are you drawn to in this race?

0:58.5

I think, obviously, the top of the market. I think it's a really deep race, obviously, tends to be quite a competitive handicap. One of the more competitive handicaps throughout the week. I think a case can be made for several towards the top of the market.

1:10.1

It's such Saturday Toga's a pretty obvious one of months of coming out from the same.

1:13.5

Nice race, as you say. Man Lager was pretty impressed with at Haydock. I think she'll go well. But one who I thought was just overpriced of the form from early in the season was a little bit overlooked, was a horse called Ben Hare, trained by Noel Mead.

1:32.1

We haven't seen him actually since Boxing Day when he finished fifth behind Narcy.

1:35.2

So Hass and the grade two at Leopards Town, just behind Barbers on,

1:37.8

who had beaten him on debut at Nav and I thought that was a decent race.

1:42.2

On his second start, he came out and travelled really well when Winning Easley,

1:43.2

a Fairy House.

1:45.6

Looks like he's being kept back for this.

1:49.8

Just had the three runs, which is something that's a positive when you're looking at the trends, obviously,

1:52.4

keeping your hand away from the handicapped as much as possible.

1:56.5

And I just thought a 50 to 1 in comparison to Barbizon,

1:59.9

who he's twice run just close behind a 20 to 1. I thought Ben Hare was slightly overpriced and could outrun those odds. I really like that. I'm very intrigued to hear what Adam Mills has to say as well, because obviously you're going to know all the French form for us too. And on that note, there's a horse that I like that you cannot have. So bear in mind that as I put this horse forward, if you're watching on YouTube, just look at Adam Mills' face. You'll see his head

2:22.4

turn left and right very quickly. And also there'll be a few eyebrows being raised as well. But I do

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