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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Our First-Ever House Speaker Draft

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

News, Politics

4.620.6K Ratings

🗓️ 23 October 2023

⏱️ 61 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The House of Representatives has officially been without a permanent speaker for 20 days. After Rep. Steve Scalise and Rep. Jim Jordan failed to get enough support, nine new Republican candidates have stepped forward to run for the speakership. In this installment of the podcast, the crew drafts teams of who they think is most likely to fill the position. Then, Eurasia Group president Ian Bremmer joins Galen Druke to talk about why it has been so hard to get good, clear information about the war between Israel and Hamas. Last week, false reports that Israel had struck a hospital in Gaza City and killed hundreds spread online and across the mainstream media, leading to a breakdown in negotiations between President Biden and Arab leaders. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

There is a world where like, I don't know, Kevin McCarthy becomes speaker again.

0:04.6

I mean, that's likelier than several other people on this list.

0:08.2

Probably likelier than say Dan Muser becoming speaker.

0:11.4

Not as likely as Brittany Spears, though. Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast. I'm Galen Druke.

0:27.0

The House of Representatives has now officially been without a permanent speaker for 20 days.

0:34.0

Two nominations for the position have fallen apart, Steve Scalise and Jim Jordan, and

0:38.5

and Republicans are, as of Monday morning, back at square one.

0:43.0

Republicans interested in the speakership had until Sunday night to make their

0:47.3

intentions clear and nine candidates stepped forward.

0:50.6

The current plan is that House Republicans will hold a candidate forum Monday night and another leadership election on Tuesday.

0:58.0

Whether the next nominee can get a majority on the House floor, 217 votes if all lawmakers are in attendance, remains to be seen.

1:06.4

This is of course all happening as the war in Israel and Gaza continues to play out and

1:10.6

President Biden has asked for a 106 billion dollar package to aid Ukraine and Israel

1:16.2

and address U.S. border security. Given the depth of the candidate field and the degree of uncertainty surrounding what happens next,

1:24.6

we have been left with no other option than to hold our first ever House Speaker draft.

1:31.5

Who is most likely to get the job if anyone may be fair to ask that at this

1:38.0

point? And here with me to participate is senior election analyst Jeffrey Skelly.

1:42.8

Hello Jeff.

1:43.8

Good morning, Galen.

1:45.1

This is a fun one.

1:46.4

It is, it is.

1:47.3

Also here with us is politics reporter Leah Escariname.

...

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