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It is Wednesday, March 11th.

It's Oscar Week. Craig and I will be there on Sunday. Look for us.

We'll be quickly escorted away from the real red carpet to the side carpet for the non-famous people.

It's been a fun if kind of paint-by-numbers award season. One battle after another has pretty much

dominated all the precursor awards all season, except for the actor awards, formerly the SAG Awards.

That top honor went to Sinners, which some people think could signal it's going to pull off a major upset.

It did get the most nominations ever with 16, though 44% of movies that lead the nominations do not end up winning Best Picture.

One Battle and Sinners are facing off in a record 11 categories that makes this one of the most epic contest between two contenders

ever. And either way, great for Warner Brothers, it's very rare for studio heads like Mike Toluca and Pam

Abdi to sit there in the crowd knowing they're going to win regardless of which way the academy leans. I'm a little skeptical of the sinner's narrative, but for the real expert opinion,

we've got Michael Asker back on the show. Michael is not a professional awards prognosticator.

He's actually a talent manager at Mosaic, has some great clients in the comedy world. But he's also a

longtime Oscar watcher and knows this stuff from the inside,

meaning he actually talks to the voters

and goes to the events that aren't necessarily for media.

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