Hello for the little rebel capitals, hope you're well. So we have oil crashing right now as we speak and I'm not using hyperbole. It's down almost 4% in fact earlier today. It was down 4% on the day. On the day.

That is a tremendous price move in the price of oil.

But it's not just oil.

It's also Treasury yields. So what does this tell us about what's happening

beneath the surface in the economy and maybe what is it predicting about tomorrow's inflation data.

I think it more so has to do with what's happening in the overall economy.

But let's get right into the data and check it out. And then what we're going to do is go back in time.

Because like I've been saying on so many of my videos, it's not that there's no good news it's not that

it's all bad news or you know it's it's never all good news and nobody it's always a

mix so what you have to do is you have to

look at what direction is the trend going. So if we start off with a 50-50

split and then it goes 60-40 and 70-30 and 80-20 as far as on the bad news I you know that it's

trending in a specific direction and you need to adjust the probabilities of a certain

outcome. It's just a combination of all the data combined. It's not just focusing

on one segment or the other and excluding everything else, right?

So let's go back and, well actually let's start.

I don't know where Josh is, he is completely failing right now.

Now I've got to click the buttons myself. See what happens? See what have to deal with here?

There we go. Okay, now that I click the button myself, because my research assistant and producers, MIA,

let's get into the data.

I don't even know what I was doing.

Okay.

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