Hey, hey, where you been, but got talk is about to begin, hey, hey, hey, come on in, welcome back to

betting the Buckeyes on Buckeye Talk. Doug Lamar is a Tyler Shoemaker. No Ohio State game this week. So T-Sho that means you don't bet. Is that right?

You're just taking the week off. No, Ohio State game. No betting. That's how you roll. Yeah, exactly. I've got to rest up.

I've got to get healthy. Get my mind right. No, I'm just kidding. I'm totally betting I've already bet like 10 games this week.

We wouldn't want it any other way. And we're still podcasting because there's no game. There's been we're not podcasting. We are going to make our five picks

for the five power conferences. There are four gigantic games this week. And just so happens, I'm betting all of those gigantic games. Doesn't mean I'm going to get them right, but we're going to dig into that.

Of course, at the end, we do money making time where T-Sho digs in really hard on some art of the radar games and gives us a tip. But we want to start off T-Sho.

We want to talk a little bit about first quarter lines because you're you're starting to really zero when you're having such success.

We're all having success. I hope based on your advice about Ohio State first quarter lines that you've been doing some some digging in on that. We're going to talk a little bit about future's bets as well.

And what we think about Ohio State as a future's bet to win the national championship and make the playoff. But tell us a little bit about what you've been experimenting with with your numbers about first quarter lines.

Yes, it honestly was sparked by the success that we've had, you know, betting these Ohio State first quarters because, you know, because of this show and we've, you know, we wanted to really hone in on getting in Ohio State bet every week.

It really made me look at, you know, these first half and in particular the first quarter lines. And we're five and one on those.

So I was like, well, if I can, you know, apply the same principle that I do for the full game, but just look at every team's first quarter data. So I did that this week. That was like a whole wormhole that I went went down.

But I did that. I made first quarter projections. I didn't release these publicly until I, you know, can track it and kind of hone that a little bit.

But so far, I mean, here we're recording Thursday night and through three games. If you were to bet every side and total in the first quarters, you'd be five and one already. So we're off to a great start there.

What is different is, and let me guess here, is it you take your numbers and divide by four? Is that it? Is that simple? There's four quarters. It's a whole game. You take a fourth of a game. Boom. Make money. I just did all the work for you. Was that it?

I wish I wish it was that easy. It was a whole process. It took me several, several hours this week. More hours than I care to admit.

So what are you basing it on? Just what teams actually do in the first quarters or digging in on those box scores and saying, okay, well, this is how much they score like what else would you input there to try to evaluate what a team might do in the first quarter of a game?

Yeah. Yeah. I mean, and it's the same principle that I use when doing just my regular power ratings. That's, you know, your offensive and defensive efficiency. I'm just doing it only looking at the first quarter number. So it's been pretty interesting. And I don't expect the first quarter numbers to necessarily be as like accurate in terms of absolute error. But I do think directionally.

I think they can they can work, you know, for instance, so kind of a spoiler and I kind of tease this on Twitter earlier. Like Purdue, which I already I bet Purdue minus 11 against Nebraska earlier this week that lines 13 half or 14 now.

But specifically in the first quarter, Purdue's been so good and Nebraska's been so bad that the first quarter line is three and a half, but my projection because of how.

How those teams have actually performed. I project Purdue to actually win the first quarter by 15 points. Now, I don't think they're actually going to win the first quarter by 15 points, but I think directionally that tells us like, hey, this team's really good in the first quarter. Nebraska is really not.

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