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Fantasy Football Today Beyond the Box Score

Odell Beckham Profile: Pros and Cons Aplenty (08/29 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Fantasy Football Today Beyond the Box Score

CBS Sports

Football, Sports

4.9721 Ratings

🗓️ 29 August 2021

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Jacob Gibbs lays out the case for Odell Beckham while Adam tells you why he thinks Beckham is not a Top 70 pick. Cleveland's use of Beckham is enticing, but will the target volume be there? 

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Is Odell Beckham the most overdrafted player in fantasy?

0:07.3

Depends which website you're looking at.

0:09.4

We'll tell you about him right now on Fantasy Football today in five.

0:12.5

Okay, welcome everybody.

0:13.7

I'm Adam Azer, joined by Jacob Gibbs to break down Odell Beckham Jr.

0:17.0

Now, if you listen to the end of yesterday's show, I said I thought he was the most

0:20.1

overdrafted player. That's based on fantasy pros. Their consensus average draft position has Beckham

0:25.0

going 67th overall, a round 6 pick in full PPR. On CBS, though, he's going 88th overall. Huge

0:33.9

difference there. Jacob, I'll take him at 88. I think no chance am I taking O'Dow Beckham in round six. But tell me about some of the metrics that you're looking at with Beckham, because you're going to strike an optimistic tone here. Yeah, I would take him at 66. You don't have to. No, Jacob, don't do it. I think everything we saw from him last year in the games he was healthy for is actually really

0:54.4

encouraging. I know that the production wasn't there, but the volume really was there for him

0:58.3

to produce a top fantasy receiver. His targets per route run rose from 23% in 2019 to 24.3% last

1:06.5

year, which would rank 10th among wide receivers if he played enough snaps to qualify. And he wasn't just targeted at a high rate. He was consistently targeted at a high rate. His target per out run rate was above 24% in each of Cleveland's first five games. For reference, guys like Tyree Kill, D.K. Metcalf, Mike Evans, Robert Woods. They played the majority of the season, and they didn't even have five games where they had a target per outrun rate that high. Beckham did it in five of six games.

1:31.0

He's a huge part of Cleveland's offense. Kevin Stavansky really scripted a lot of specific things

1:35.8

to get Beckham involved and it just didn't quite come to fruition, but I think we might see it

1:40.9

over a larger sample size come to fruition and more efficiently than we saw last year. And one of the things that you're looking at is the play action game, because we know this is a run-heavy team, but in play-action, he could really thrive. Right, yeah. So, I mean, you've got to worry about Nick Chubb and Cream Hunt. So obviously, play-action is efficient. And we've seen play action just in general boosts productivity of receivers across the league.

2:04.4

The yards per out run rate is up by 34% on average on play action plays.

2:10.0

And O'Dell Beckham last year was on pace to finish second among all wide receivers in play action targets.

2:16.8

We saw Stefanski use him, basically the way we saw

2:20.4

Stavansky used Stefan Diggs in his time in Minnesota. Beckham's A dot on play action routes was up from

2:25.1

9.6 all the way to 12 yards in his first year was Stefansky. 44% of his targets came on play action

2:31.3

routes, but 62% of his yards came on play action routes,

2:34.7

and all of his touchdowns were on play action plays.

...

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