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ek slash special offer. As a general rule like don't think of this as a TV2 a

it doesn't have to be like formal I know you don't swear but you can even

swear if you wanted to I have given myself permission to to call somebody a

rat-baster oh okay that's a big deal for you. Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast I'm Gailand Rook.

We're just one week away from the Iowa Caucasus and so today we're heading to the

early states to get a picture of the Republican primary

contest in the final stretch. To start there is no better person to gauge the

pulse of Iowa caucus goers than Ann Selzer, the poll poster behind the Des Moines Register Iowa Poll.

According to 538's Polster readings, she's been the best Polster in the country

for years running, and she's become, at least in some nerdy circles, famous for publishing outlier polls that turn

out to be harbingers of eventual election results.

The first high profile instance was during the 2008 Democratic caucuses

when her poll stood out for showing Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton in

...