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This is a new world report with Professor Evan Ellis of the US Army War College

Strategic Studies Institute, two countries that have gone through elections and then disorder.

Most recently, Guatemala, the President-elect, Aravalo, is now at some point at odds with the

people who are administering, which is to have to say, regulation about the election,

because he was sponsored by a party that is under investigation as using fraudulent documents

to register itself. Aravalo, who is the son of a previous President, has said he's stepping

away from joining in the transition talks with the now-serving President because of doubts about

how his election is being challenged as legitimate. Professor the US is protesting, or let's put it

this way. The US is recommending that Guatemala not interrupt the steps towards putting Mr. Aravalo

in the policy. Is that helpful that the US speaks out, or is that used as leverage for the opponents?

Well, I think it's certainly helpful, although there are some important strategic questions

to be raised. As you know, John, we've talked about in recent weeks, this is an ongoing story

that all throughout this electoral cycle from the exclusion of candidates that were seen as risky

to the questioning of the election itself, to the disqualification of Aravalo's party,

the semia party, to prevent them from actually taking committee seats and things like that.

And the most recent step, which caused Aravalo to say, that's enough, I'm suspending the transition,

or at least symbolically, which was when there was reports that they had gotten in and opened up

ballot boxes based on, I suppose, a judicial order, creating the opportunity that things could be

put into the ballot boxes or the basis for basically trumped up legal action later.

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