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The John Batchelor Show

NewWorldReport: Guatemala delecition transition disorder. Latin American Research Professor Evan Ellis, U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute. @revanellis #NewWorldReportEllis

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 15 September 2023

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

NewWorldReport: Guatemala delecition transition disorder. Latin American Research Professor Evan Ellis, U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute. @revanellis #NewWorldReportEllis

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/guatemala-president-elect-arevalo-suspends-participation-transition-2023-09-13/

1928 Brazil

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:20.1

I'm John Batch, with Professor Evangelis of the US Army War College.

0:23.4

The election in Guatemala is concluded. The winner is a man named Bernardo Aravalo.

0:29.4

He represents a party, however, that's under challenge as having registered with an

0:35.2

fraudulent registration and have been illegitimate at the time of the vote.

0:40.5

This is led to this report. Guatemala and President-elect Bernardo Aravalo

0:45.6

has temporarily suspended his participation in the government transition.

0:50.0

He said in a news conference, as actions by authorities fueled doubts around the transfer of power.

0:56.6

Professor Ui identified this as a possible large story having to do with the opposition being

1:04.3

disappointed that an outsider, a man who I believe is the son of a former president,

1:10.0

so he's quite much involved in government thinking all his life. But in any event,

1:16.1

this now looks to be a disruption. At this point, is there a way of resolving this so that the

1:23.5

transition can go forward? Are we looking at unpredictable events?

1:29.0

Well, I do believe the transition will go forward eventually, John. And there's some question

1:32.3

of what degree Aravalo is judging correctly the amount of international support and any

1:39.2

amount of support that he has within the Guatemalan system, but people who are frustrated with

1:44.7

the established economic and political elites trying to rig the game to keep things working

1:50.0

their way, or to what degree he is overplaying his hand. But certainly what happened recently was

1:57.6

the opposition of the established going too far. There was basically an opening of ballot boxes,

2:03.7

which created a vulnerability of essentially changing those ballots in a way that either in terms

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