New Zillow Forecast: Best and Worst Housing Markets of 2026

On The Market

BiggerPockets

Investing, Education, Business, News

4.8 • 859 Ratings

🗓️ 30 October 2025

⏱️ 37 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

The national housing correction is here but your results will be decided locally. Some markets are cooling gently, others are slipping fast, and a few affordable metros are still running warm. So where does that leave buy-and-hold, flips, STRs, and BRRRRs? We map the dramatic regional split, Midwest/Northeast steadier, Gulf Coast/Texas under pressure, and show how to match your strategy to on-the-ground realities like inventory, rent growth, and affordability. You’ll hear why “flat prices + rising rents” can be a green light for cash flow, when to take a calculated swing in oversold-but-strong-fundamentals cities (think Austin/Nashville/Dallas), and where supply and insurance costs are pushing deeper discounts (hello, Florida). We also dig into metro-level forecasts into 2026 and why your underwriting should look different in Milwaukee than in Miami. In This Episode We Cover Local > national: why the same correction looks totally different by region and price tier Affordability & supply: the two signals driving winners and laggards (and how to measure both) Hottest vs. coolest markets: where buyers have leverage and where demand still pops Rents vs. prices: pairing flat/declining prices with rising rents to improve cash flow Risk-on vs. risk-off playbooks: conservative buy boxes vs. opportunistic dips in strong cities Flipping in a slowdown: wider spreads, longer days-on-market, how to price and pace Forecasts into 2026: what recent metro projections imply for your next 3 - 12 months of deals Hold or sell? Handling “paper losses,” market selection, and underwriting for a slower cycle Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-369⁠ Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	We are in a housing correction, at least on a national level. But everyone knows real estate and
0:06.7	real estate investing are local. What happens in one market can be totally different from what
0:12.3	happens in other markets, where burworks may not be great for short-term rental investing.
0:18.7	Where short-term rental investing works might not be great for flipping.
0:23.0	It all comes down to what you're trying to accomplish
0:25.3	and what's happening on the ground in your individual market.
0:29.4	In today's episode, we're going deep into the dramatic regional differences
0:32.7	we're seeing in the housing market across the U.S.
0:35.3	and how you can plan your own investing accordingly.
0:43.3	Hey, everyone, welcome to On the Market. Thank you all so much for being here. I'm Dave Meyer,
0:49.7	and today, sort of going back to my roots, this is one of my favorite things to study and talk about
0:56.4	real estate markets. We're going to talk about the regional trends that we're seeing,
1:01.6	the opportunities to be had, and the risks you probably want to avoid. You might already know
1:08.1	this, but there isn't really such thing as quote unquote the real
1:12.8	estate market.
1:13.5	On the show, we cover the national market a lot because it's helpful to understand some big
1:20.2	macro trends.
1:21.8	But what really matters most to your actual portfolios, to the profits that you're actually
1:26.4	generating is what's happening
1:28.1	on the ground in your local market. And of course, we cannot cover every market in the U.S.
1:34.4	in today's show alone, but in this episode, we are going to do a deep dive into housing
1:39.4	prices into different regions, different states, different cities across the U.S., and help interpret what
	...

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