Nate Silver on Predicting the Unpredictable

HBR IdeaCast

Harvard Business Review

Leadership, Entrepreneurship, Communication, Marketing, Business, Business/management, Management, Business/marketing, Business/entrepreneurship, Innovation, Hbr, Strategy, Economics, Finance, Teams, Harvard

4.4 • 1.9K Ratings

🗓️ 19 October 2012

⏱️ 22 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Nate Silver, statistician and founder of The New York Times political blog FiveThirtyEight.com.

Transcript

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0:00.0	If you work with early career professionals, my colleagues at
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0:08.4	Young Professional's Guide to Building a Meaningful Career on your own terms.
0:11.9	Share New Here with the Young Professionals in your life. a meaningful career on your own terms.
0:12.8	Share new here with the young professionals in your life.
0:15.9	Listen for free wherever you got your podcasts.
0:18.6	Just search new here. Welcome to the HBO Idea cast from Harvard Business Review.
0:32.9	I'm Sarah Green.
0:34.2	I'm here today with Nate Silver,
0:35.9	who is the founder of the New York Times political blog 538.
0:39.4	He's a statistician and a writer.
0:41.3	And before getting into political forecasting he developed a
0:44.4	pakota projection system for evaluating baseball players. He's the author of the new
0:48.6	book The Signal and the Noise, Why so many predictions fail but some don't.
0:53.0	Nate, thanks much for coming in.
0:55.0	Thank you, Sarah.
0:56.0	So I'm curious, you have this very well read blog.
0:59.0	Why write a book and why write this book?
1:02.0	Well, there are a couple reasons why. Number one is I think that when you do a
1:06.4	blog you sometimes are so wrapped up in the news cycle and the day-to-day of things that
1:11.7	you don't have time to step back and breathe and think about
1:15.2	the bigger picture.
	...

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