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Money For the Rest of Us

More Ways to Lock in Higher Yields in Case Interest Rates Fall

Money For the Rest of Us

J. David Stein

Investing, Investing Podcast, Business, Economics, Economy

4.5 • 1.4K Ratings

🗓️ 31 January 2024

⏱️ 30 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Professional investors and other market participants are lousy at forecasting interest rates. Here are three more options to lock in higher yields today.

Topics covered include:

  • The risk of buying long-term bonds and ETFs to benefit from falling yields
  • How volatility drag has impacted a long-term bond ETF like TLT
  • Why interest rates won't go up just because the government issues more bonds
  • How CDs, fixed annuities, and zero-coupon bonds work
  • We compare and contrast the seven fixed-income options reviewed in this two-part series


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Money for the Rest of Us Plus

Show Notes

Investors may be getting the Federal Reserve wrong, again—The Economist

Today's Best Multi-Year Guaranteed Annuities—Immediate Annuities

Zero-Coupon Treasuries Flew Off Shelves During October Yield Surge by Elizabeth Stanton—Bloomberg

Investments Mentioned

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

Invesco BulletShares 2029 Corporate Bond ETF (BSCT)

Related Episodes

463: How to Lock in Higher Yields in Case Interest Rates Fall

418: Bond Investing Masterclass


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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to money for the rest of us. This is the personal finance show on money, how it works, how to invest it, and how to live without worrying about it.

0:10.0

I'm your host David Stein today is episode 464. It's titled

0:14.4

More Ways to Lock In Case Interest Rates Fall.

0:19.1

We're currently doing a listener survey for listeners of money for the rest of us and we ask listeners what they want to hear about.

0:26.7

And one of the leading suggestions is to do more multi-part series over several episodes that take a deeper dive into a particular topic.

0:39.1

That's what this episode is.

0:40.3

We discussed a number of ways to lock in higher yields in last week's episode.

0:45.0

We want to continue that discussion in this week's episode and share some additional ways

0:50.0

that we can lock in higher yields.

0:53.0

Now why would we want to do that?

0:55.0

One of the questions we got from one of our plus members

0:59.0

is, well, if we think interest rates are going to fall,

1:01.0

then why don't we just purchase a longer-term

1:04.3

bond fund or E.T.F and benefit from the price appreciation if interest rates do

1:10.7

fall. The reason is we're not sure they're going to fall and we want to

1:15.1

protect ourselves in case interest rates rise. In last week's episode we

1:20.0

reviewed the three primary drivers that determine interest rates.

1:24.0

The first is the expectation for future short-term interest rates, and that's tied to the

1:29.6

Central Bank policy rate in the U.S. that the Fed's fund rate.

1:34.0

As investors believe a Central Bank will be lowering its policy rate in the future that can

1:40.3

put downward pressure on interest rates.

1:43.3

The second driver was inflation expectations.

...

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