Moody's Downgrade and Tariffs Impact Markets

Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg

News, Investing, Business News, Business

4 • 1.1K Ratings

🗓️ 20 May 2025

⏱️ 37 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 20th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Ed Yardeni, president at Yardeni Research, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for equities, his S&P target, and whether tariffs will weigh on corporate bottom lines. Asix-day winning streak in the S&P 500 is set to pause as investors bet that US stocks will lag the rest of the world. It comes as Hong Kong's pension fund managers are concerned about potential forced selling of their Treasury holdings due to Moody's downgrade of US debt, as they are only allowed to invest over 10% of their assets in Treasuries if the US has a AAA or equivalent rating.
2) Holger Schmeiding, Chief Economist at Berenberg, discusses UK-EU trade relations and the divergence of post-Soviet (lower case) liberalism and right-wing authoritarianism and their effects on European economies. It comes as European stocks are expected to outperform US stocks, driven by structural shifts such as higher investments in defense and infrastructure.
3) Angela Stent, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute and Georgetown professor, discusses the call between President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin and what it. European leaders are disappointed after a phone call between Trump and Putin, feeling that Trump is disengaging from diplomatic efforts to end the war in Ukraine and leaving Ukraine and its allies on their own.
4) Dan Tannebaum, Partner at Oliver Wyman, reacts to the Trump-Putin call and talks about what options the president has for putting pressure on Russia, as well as what opening up trade to Russia would mean. President Trump's plan for Russia and Ukraine to negotiate directly on a framework for peace talks before a truce is in place is seen as allowing Putin to buy time, with Russia presenting maximalist demands in previous talks.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a NYT story on The US Open tennis tournament makeover and Bloomberg's story on Amazon tackling last place in the NFL ratings.

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Transcript

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0:47.4	This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcasts
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1:02.7	Now an extended conversation with Edward Yardinney.
1:06.5	He's Yardinni research definitive at C.J. Lawrence a few years ago. A long tour of duty, a must
1:13.4	read at Prudential Bish securities and has been one of the true bulls of his roaring 20s.
1:20.9	Ed Yardini, how roaring are our roaring 20s? Well, I think things are looking better ever since April 9th, which was the
1:30.2	postponement of the so-called Liberation Day. And then, of course, on May 12th, there was
1:37.3	another postponement of the tariffs on China. And so the stock markets had a V-shaped recovery since then. And the stock
1:47.4	markets had a kind of a roaring 2020's correction followed by an amazing recovery. Let me translate
1:55.2	the modesty you just heard there, folks. Ed Jardini defined bond equity, currency, commodity vigilantes. Ed Jardini, the vigilantes,
	...

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