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The Dividend Cafe

Monday - January 13, 2025

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Wealth Management, Estate Planning, Monetary Policy, Retirement Planning, Business, Investing, Dividend Growth Investing, Macro Economics

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 13 January 2025

⏱️ 20 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4ai49bd

Monday Market Insights with David Bahnsen

In this episode of Monday Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen, Managing Partner at The Bahnsen Group, discusses the volatile market conditions one week before the inauguration of Trump's second term. Key topics include the recent market sell-off, sector performance, bond yields, and economic indicators. Bahnsen also delves into the potential impact of public policy changes, including tax alterations and the proposed Department of Government Efficiency. Additionally, he addresses the challenges of bipartisan legislation, updates on job creation, and the implications of rising mortgage rates. Finally, Bahnsen concludes with insights into midstream energy performance and the importance of capital expenditures in driving economic growth.

00:00 Welcome to Monday Dividend Cafe

00:18 Market Volatility and Post-Election Rally

01:19 Today's Market Action

03:05 Bond Yields and Inflation Expectations

04:49 Earnings Season and Market Valuation

06:27 International Diversification and U.S. Markets

08:48 Public Policy Updates

13:01 Economic Data and Indicators

15:07 Oil Prices and Midstream Energy

16:13 Capital Expenditures and Economic Growth

17:50 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe, weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio

0:06.6

and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:12.1

Well, hello, and welcome to the Monday Dividend Cafe.

0:14.6

I am David Bonson, managing partner here at the Bonson Group with a lot of fun public policy things to talk about as we get

0:23.4

very close to the inauguration, the official date of Trump 2.0, one week from today. And in the

0:31.1

meantime, we're dealing with a very volatile market. It has as a Friday with the big sell-off we had

0:36.5

given up all of its post-election rally,

0:40.5

and we're now dealing with a much more normalized market, up and down days,

0:45.9

the kind of thing you would expect when you get to a market that has maybe gotten this far ahead of itself.

0:52.8

So I'm going to talk about all that and more today. First,

0:55.6

the basic housekeeping, the Friday Dividing Cafe was the annual year behind year ahead paper,

1:03.2

20 charts for your visual pleasure and all the commentary I could muster. I want to encourage you to go

1:09.3

dividendcafe.com to get that PDF

1:12.0

of our annual paper and all of our themes and thoughts as we go into this new year, which we are

1:18.3

now into the 13th day of and already enjoying a very exciting market. Let me get the market

1:25.9

stuff done first and then we'll go into these other

1:29.5

categories as we go around the horn. First, just in terms of today's market action, when I was up

1:36.4

this morning, which again, you're talking about five or six hours before the opening bell,

1:43.0

the Dow futures were down close to 200 points.

1:46.5

And by about a half hour before the open, they were already starting to come back a bit.

1:51.1

They were still down.

1:52.2

But the NASDAQ was still down about 300 points in the pre-market.

...

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