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Afford Anything

Mind Games: How Confidence Shapes our Financial Markets, with Economist Peter Atwater

Afford Anything

Paula Pant | Cumulus Podcast Network

Entrepreneurship, Business, Investing

4.63.4K Ratings

🗓️ 20 July 2023

⏱️ 63 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

#452: Peter Atwater, an economics professor at The College of William and Mary and author of “The Confidence Map,” joins us to discuss how confidence shapes our financial markets. He explains how The Hunger Games relates to the Lehman Brothers collapse. He describes why you should “Buy Adele and Sell Pharrell.” From the Panic of 1857 to the patterns behind modern media consumption, Peter talks us through the intricate web of behavioral oddities that extend beyond finance. He talks about the “K-shaped recovery” – how different segments of the population are experiencing different economic realities. He touches upon economic, political, and social trends, and the hidden dynamics that shape market behavior and reveal the profound impact of consumer confidence. Our conversation will leave you with a deeper understanding of how behavioral patterns shape the financial landscape – including your investments. Enjoy! For more information, visit the show notes at https://affordanything.com/episode452 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Imagine an x-axis, a horizontal line, that line represents certainty, and the further to

0:05.9

the right that you move along that line, the higher your certainty is.

0:10.3

Now imagine a y-axis, a vertical line.

0:14.0

The further up you go, the more control you have over a given situation.

0:19.0

There are some situations for which we have a high degree of control, but a very low amount

0:24.0

of certainty, like when we're starting a business.

0:27.1

There are other situations in which we have a high amount of certainty, but a very low

0:32.2

degree of control, like a very secure job with a stable company.

0:37.7

Then there are the times that were in our total comfort zone, high certainty and high control,

0:42.8

and there are times when we are panicking and feeling really terrible, at our most vulnerable,

0:49.4

and that's when we have low certainty and low control.

0:52.2

Now this framework comes from an economics professor named Peter Atwater, who just wrote

0:58.7

a brilliant book called The Confidence Map, and we are going to be speaking with Professor

1:04.6

Atwater in today's episode.

1:07.6

Welcome to the Afford Anything Podcast, the show that understands that you can afford

1:12.3

anything.

1:13.7

You just can't afford everything.

1:15.9

Every choice that you make carries with it a trade-off, and that doesn't just apply

1:20.9

to your money, that applies to your time, your focus, your attention to any limited resource

1:26.8

that you need to manage.

1:28.5

So how do you get better at resource management and at capital allocation?

1:33.2

How do you choose to distribute limited means across seemingly unlimited options?

...

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