Mike & Jay on the 2018 Midterm Elections

The Politics Guys

Michael Baranowski

Politics, News

4.5 • 772 Ratings

🗓️ 10 November 2018

⏱️ 67 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

It’s all elections on this episode, starting with a look at the Congressional results. Mike and Jay talk about what they got right and where they went wrong in their predictions, and what they expect from the next Congress. Then they turn to state level elections and a discussion of gains & losses in state legislatures and governorships, and what they might mean going forward. Finally, the Guys talk about a number of key ballot issues: Medicaid expansion, victim’s rights laws, and changes to voting and redistricting. Jay also explains why he’s generally not a big fan of ballot initiatives, a position Mike understands and is even somewhat in agreement with. But ultimately, Mike argues that initiatives, while highly imperfect, are preferable to legislative gridlock (at least most of the time). Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. If you’re interested in supporting the show, go to politicsguys.com/support. Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/the-politics-guys/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Welcome to the politics guys, a place for bipartisan, rational, and civil debate on American politics and policy.
0:05.9	I'm Michael Barronowski, a political scientist at North Kentucky University.
0:09.4	With me today is my regular co-host, Cleveland Area Attorney and Republican Factotum, Jay Carson.
0:14.6	Good morning, Mike.
0:15.3	Hey, Jay, how are you doing this morning?
0:16.7	I'm doing pretty good.
0:17.9	You know, obviously, I think everyone knows what we're going to be talking about today on the show,
0:23.0	it being our first post-election episode.
0:26.2	So why don't we have a lot to cover?
0:28.1	So why don't we just jump right into it if you're ready?
0:29.7	All right.
0:30.3	Okay.
0:31.0	So we'll start, I think, with the results of the House and Senate races.
0:35.9	And for those of you who caught our live show that we
0:38.9	recorded and then released just before the election, you know that as a team, we were entirely
0:44.4	right. So we worked well together. I said, and we'll start with the House side, I said that in the
0:50.7	House side, the Democrats would pick up 40 seats and take the House.
0:55.2	Jay, you thought the Republicans would hold on to a very slim majority in the House.
0:59.7	And as of the time we're recording this, it looks like Democrats picked up somewhere in the mid-30s and seats.
1:06.2	There are a few races that still haven't been called.
1:08.5	So, Jay, what do you think happened to sort of upend your
1:12.9	election prediction on the House side? What went wrong? Yeah, what went wrong, Jay? Right.
	...

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