Washington Senate candidate Tiffany Smiley joins me to discuss her campaign and exactly

what she would do to fight soaring crime and stand up for families.

I'm Sarah Carter on the latest Sarah Carter show.

I'll also break down the latest news on the Russia hoax against President Trump.

Follow the Sarah Carter show wherever you get your podcasts.

Hello and welcome to the Byron York show, the no-chit chat podcast.

We'd like to get right into it.

Did I tell you it's the no-chit chat podcast?

It really is.

What we're going to get into today is the art of midterm predictions.

We're about three weeks out from the midterms and a lot of predictions going on.

And I think you can actually begin to take a longer view of things to see where we are.

The 2022 midterm campaign has really gone through two distinctive phases and has now

entered a third phase.

I'm going to talk about all of those.

In the first phase, which lasted for about 12 months, ending in late June of this year,

Republicans were the clear favorite to win control of the house and probably to win it big.

In the second phase, from late June through mid-September, the race was much more competitive.

Most observers were still predicting a Republican victory in the house, but a much narrower

one than had earlier thought.

Some Democrats, some analysts were even saying that Democrats had at least an outside chance

of keeping the house, which would be a huge development given the way things looked earlier.

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