Michael Lewis on the Two Men Who Changed Our Minds
Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Motley Fool
4.3 • 3.1K Ratings
🗓️ 21 July 2020
⏱️ 2 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | With a monthly full money extra, I'm Chris Hill. |
| 0:09.4 | Michael Lewis is known for writing bestselling books like The Big Short and Money Ball. |
| 0:13.7 | A few years back, I talked with him about the undoing project, a friendship that changed |
| 0:18.7 | our minds. |
| 0:20.1 | The book focuses on the relationship between two Israeli psychologists who created the |
| 0:25.1 | field of behavioral economics, Daniel Coniman and Amos Tversky. |
| 0:30.2 | And considering their differences, it's amazing they were able to work together. |
| 0:34.8 | Tversky was an extrovert, very self-confident, very comfortable being the center of attention. |
| 0:40.8 | Daniel Coniman isn't just introverted, he's a man plagued with self doubt. |
| 0:47.0 | Two men so different, you wonder how they even got along. |
| 0:51.0 | Well, I'd say the big difference is an ability to know at a deep level when you're dealing |
| 1:00.4 | with an uncertain situation, some judgment you have to make, some risk you have to take. |
| 1:06.4 | Then all you can control is the process, the outcome is inherently unpredictable. |
| 1:15.0 | So what you do is you bring that spirit of confidence to the creation of a really |
| 1:20.5 | good process, you don't bring it to, oh I'm going to promise an outcome. |
| 1:30.8 | The manifestation in the markets of overconfidence is people trading too much. |
| 1:36.0 | People make way more decisions than they should make because they think their decisions are |
| 1:41.5 | good. |
| 1:45.5 | That's the deadly niff of overconfidence is making decisions you don't need to make. |
| 1:51.1 | You can find the undoing project everywhere you find books and it was written by Michael |
| 1:55.8 | Lewis, so you know it's good. |
| 1:58.6 | I'm Chris Hill, thanks for listening, we'll see you next time. |
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