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RiskReversal Pod

Michael Green: Has Passive Investing Crossed The Rubicon? | On The Tape

RiskReversal Pod

RiskReversal Media

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.7836 Ratings

🗓️ 8 May 2026

⏱️ 52 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Mike Green returns to On The Tape discuss why U.S. equities hit record highs despite the Iran war and oil spike, arguing systematic 401(k) and volatility/trend strategies drove historic inflows and that markets had largely priced in fear via VIX, correlation, skew, and heavy hedging that later unwound. He critiques Nasdaq’s new low-float multiplier rules as boosting demand for IPOs like SpaceX/OpenAI and warns S&P’s proposal to waive profitability requirements could turn the index into a private-equity exit vehicle and alter its historical quality bias. Green views the Fed as mostly narrative-driven except during major rate shifts, faults data-dependence, and says inflation swaps don’t show a breakout, while high rates act as a fiscal transfer that reinforces a K-shaped economy. He explains passive bond indexing can underweight long-duration Treasuries, potentially motivating buybacks/yield-curve-control-like actions. The conversation also covers AI capex, emerging AI-driven job restructuring favoring older workers, and Bitcoin’s ETF-driven financialization and limited utility. Show Notes Checkout Mike's Substack: https://www.yesigiveafig.com/ Follow On The Tape on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe8y7CzcjhMPTzem-Zn6sqA —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Transcript

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1:38.2

Welcome to the Risk Reversal Podcast. I am Dan Nathan. I am joined today by Danny Moses,

1:43.3

the host of the On the Tape podcast. Danny, welcome to the podcast.

1:47.8

Thanks for having me on, Dan.

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