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The John Batchelor Show

Michael Bernstam explains Russia bypasses US sanctions via balanced ruble-yuan barter trade with China. As a vital energy exporter, punishing Russia's major oil buyers risks ending the world economy.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

News, Books, Arts, Society & Culture

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 26 September 2025

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Michael Bernstam explains Russia bypasses US sanctions via balanced ruble-yuan barter trade with China. As a vital energy exporter, punishing Russia's major oil buyers risks ending the world economy.

1942 MOSCOW FACTORY WORKERS

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is CBSI on the world.

0:06.0

I'm John Batchel.

0:07.0

I welcome my good colleague, Michael Bernstein,

0:09.0

the Hoover Institution, guides me through the sanctions regime

0:13.0

upon the Russian Federation through the long conflict between Ukraine and Russia,

0:18.0

or the way Russia has it, between Russia and NATO. We begin, however,

0:22.1

with a story, a barter story. This is Reuters. In Moscow, you take rubles that you can't spend

0:31.3

outside of Russia, and you buy wheat, lots of wheat. In Beijing or Shanghai, you are a trader, just like your opposite number in Moscow,

0:43.3

but you take yuan, the Chinese currency, and you buy electric vehicles.

0:50.0

And then you send the electric vehicles to Russia, and Russia sends the wheat to you.

0:56.0

That is actually happening now.

0:58.7

And Michael tells me, we've gone back to the future.

1:02.3

It's called barter, Michael.

1:03.7

Does it make sense?

1:05.7

It makes sense when countries cannot conduct and cannot clear their trade with the currency that both

1:15.8

countries would accept. And so the Chinese don't need Russian rubles. The Russians would

1:21.9

be happy to take renminbi. They would take dollars and they would take euros, but the Chinese don't want to give it to them.

1:29.6

And so there is a situation in which, luckily for the Russians and for the Chinese, it's a unique

1:35.5

case that their export and import roughly balanced. The total trade between Russian and China is to $145 billion a year.

1:45.4

And of that, $129 billion is Russian export, mostly oil and natural gas and some wheat

1:51.3

and metals and natural resources.

1:54.4

$122 billion is import of Chinese technology and Chinese electronics and Chinese manufacturing goods, including

...

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