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MGoBlog: The MGoPodcast

MGoRadio 9.14: The Playoff Preview

MGoBlog: The MGoPodcast

MGoBlog

Sports, Basketball, Sports:football, Football, Hockey

4.8887 Ratings

🗓️ 29 December 2023

⏱️ 66 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

They’re writing off the wrong team.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to havembo Radio 9.13. 14. Yeah, we did a recruiting podcast in there.

0:19.3

Oh yeah. Yeah, well it got me mixed up. Michigan plays Alabama in the granddaddy of them all on New Year's Day, almost like God intended.

0:29.0

It was it, was it God's intention or somebody else's intention?

0:34.0

Well, we'll see.

0:35.0

So Michigan, there's a really interesting gap

0:40.0

between the Vegas line, which is Michigan minus 1.5 and the SP Plus line which is Michigan minus 9 which just does not happen these days.

0:51.6

Vegas has cotton on to the fact that SP Plus is a pretty good metric

0:56.4

and there's a lot of other analytics out there that more or less come to the same conclusions and these

1:01.6

days it's very rare to find a line that deviates

1:06.4

from the fancy stats spread by more than a couple of points and usually if that does happen what you have is you have opt-outs or you have injuries or you just have a lot of other factors that these stat things can't take into account. Not the case here. Michigan did lose Zack Zinner, but

1:25.5

Zinner is not worth the touchdown on the line. No offense to Mr. Zinner.

1:31.9

So part of this is Vegas has staked out a position here because approximately

1:39.6

80% of the money from the public is on Bama and the line to move from two and a half

1:45.2

when it opened to one and a half now so you have a situation where Michigan should

1:50.3

feel pretty confident based on what everybody has done this season but

1:54.6

because it's bama because they beat Georgia everybody is projecting that

2:00.2

Alabama is gonna win this game which you can see in the Bruce Feldman anonymous quotes articles that people get riled up about.

2:10.0

I mean, people get riled up about the truth sometimes but it was the

2:16.2

there was some nastiness in that one not well included the I don't care if they were

2:21.5

picking bama I was out there was some rallying up

2:25.1

They're still on like the science thing and then like it came out that Alabama was not letting their players watch film on their iPads because of Michigan's

2:37.6

Tom Foolery. Like Michigan's gonna hack in to some kid's iPad to watch film of Michigan?

...

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