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The John Batchelor Show

#MEXICO: Voting for AMLO's choice by what margin? Mary Anastasia O'Grady, WSJ

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

News, Books, Society & Culture, Arts

4.62.7K Ratings

🗓️ 31 May 2024

⏱️ 9 minutes

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0:00.0

This is CBS High on the World. I'm John Bachelor. Mexico, the enormous insignificance of the vote in Mexico on Sunday the 2nd of June.

0:14.8

I welcome Marianne Estesio Grady, the America's columnist and editor for the Wall Street

0:19.4

Journal editorial page. This very much underlines the power of Amlo, the man ahead of the

0:27.5

the Marina Party, who we're led to believe hand-picked his successor, the former mayor of Mexico City, Claudia Shinebaum,

0:36.4

facing a businesswoman, an entrepreneur, and a former senator, Sotio Galvez.

0:41.8

Mary, a very good evening to you.

0:43.3

What are we watching for on Sunday?

0:45.3

What is significance about this vote?

0:47.6

Because the polling indicates it's a little up-sided at the moment.

0:51.2

Good evening to you.

0:52.1

Well, good evening, John. Yeah, the moment. Good evening to you. Well, good evening, John.

0:54.0

Yeah, the polls do suggest that Claudia Scheinbaum is going to win the election.

0:58.4

She's the hand-picked successor to Andres Manuel Lopez-Obrador,

1:04.0

and she's running on the Morena Party ticket.

1:07.0

And she's probably going to win,

1:11.0

but it's possible that it's going to be a lot closer than what a lot of the official polls say.

1:18.0

One problem in Mexico is that the government has funded either overtly or covertly a lot of the polling.

1:27.0

So you tend to get some distortions there.

1:30.0

Also, when they use household polls that go door to door, you tend to undercount the

1:38.4

middle class which doesn't answer the door anymore at this point. So I think some of those polls may be overstating the strength of

1:46.4

Scheinbaum, but I also think she's the odds on favorite to win. I think one of the big things we'll be watching on Sunday is

1:55.0

turnout because the Galvest campaign has always told me that if they get turnout in

...

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