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HBR IdeaCast

Making Good Decisions

HBR IdeaCast

Harvard Business Review

Communication, Business, Harvard, Strategy, Business/management, Teams, Business/marketing, Management, Leadership, Finance, Marketing, Hbr, Economics, Innovation, Business/entrepreneurship, Entrepreneurship

4.31.9K Ratings

🗓️ 20 November 2014

⏱️ 18 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Stanford's Ron Howard, one of the fathers of decision analysis, explains how it's done.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

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0:03.8

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0:08.4

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0:11.9

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0:15.9

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0:18.6

Just search new here. Welcome to the HBR Ideacast from Harvard Business Review.

0:33.2

I'm Justin Fox, and I spoke a few days ago in Palo Alto

0:37.1

with Ronald Howard, a professor of management science

0:40.5

and engineering at Stanford University, and man who half a century ago coined

0:45.8

the term decision analysis. Ron, welcome to Ideacast.

0:50.3

Pleasure to be here. So it's 1964 where did this decision analysis come from?

0:57.0

Well it came from my being out here at Stanford for a sabbatical year away from MIT, which was my academic home at the time.

1:07.0

And I had an opportunity during that year, I was primarily writing a book, I had an opportunity during that year, I was primarily writing a book, but had an opportunity to give a course on statistical decision theory at the GE Nuclear Plant in San Jose.

1:23.3

They built the nuclear power reactors.

1:25.9

And so for a couple of hours, one day a week,

1:28.8

I went down there and started teaching this course.

1:33.2

Well, what happened was after the first three weeks of doing this

1:38.6

and was a course primarily based on the academic theory of decision making.

1:45.0

One of the people in the course, one of the engineers,

1:48.0

said, you know, we have a major decision to make.

1:51.0

Could we use what you're talking about to actually make a decision like that? And I said, well, why not? And let's try it. So for several months, we worked on this decision, which was whether to put a super heater on their nuclear power reactor.

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