Welcome back.

Nice to see you.

Thanks again for being here. I've always been really interested in the topic of

luck. For a few reasons. Luck plays such a big role in the world,

but few people want to talk about it.

And I think it's really clear why this happens.

If I say you got lucky in whatever you did, I look jealous and bitter

and a little bit mean. And if I tell myself that I got lucky, I feel diminished in whatever I

accomplished. I think it's like this for almost everyone. Luck is everywhere, it has such a big influence on the world,

particularly the very successful outcomes that we pay the most attention to,

but no one wants to talk about it.

So maybe a better way to frame luck

is just by asking,

what is not repeatable?

Lucky implies a random event that you or anyone else could not see coming. But asking what isn't repeatable is very different.

Did Jeff Bezos get lucky when he created Amazon?

Well, not in the same way that a lottery winner got lucky, of course.

It's different than that.

Jeff Bezos was visionary and ambitious and savvy to a degree that you only see maybe a few times per century.

But could he, could Jeff Bézos starting today

without any money or name recognition could he create a new

multi trillion dollar business from scratch? I think the answer is

...