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The John Batchelor Show

#LondonCalling: The UK property market in fraught condition. @JosephSternberg @WSJOpinion

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Books, Society & Culture, News, Arts

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 21 June 2023

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

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@Batchelorshow


#LondonCalling: The UK property market in fraught condition. @JosephSternberg @WSJOpinion

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/uk-2-year-mortgage-rates-top-6-adding-to-housing-strains/ar-AA1cKuRx

Transcript

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0:00.0

Serious Strings & Things

0:19.9

There's a whole range of Strings & Things called Strings & Things, including cheese,

0:24.8

Yollies and cheese shapes find them all in the cheese and yorkataro.

0:28.8

Strays and thanks.

0:34.8

This is CBS I Am The World. I'm John Batsow with Joseph Sternberg.

0:38.8

Member of the editor board of the Wall Street Journal. He writes political economics column based in London.

0:44.8

He also is helping me to understand the difference between a fixed mortgage and an adjustable mortgage

0:50.8

in the world of mortgages in the United Kingdom. I come to this headline in these last hours to see if I understand.

0:58.8

This is Reuters UK two-year mortgage rates top six percent adding to housing strains.

1:06.8

The explanation is that British lenders of race interest rates sharply in recent weeks

1:10.8

as stubbornly high inflation has pushed up expectations among investors for where the bank of England rates will peak.

1:18.8

All right, that sounds familiar central bank rate guessing ahead.

1:22.8

But I'm unfamiliar with a two-year mortgage. Please explain, Joe, you do this each time to me and I don't take notes carefully enough.

1:30.8

I think the best way for American listeners to understand the UK mortgage crisis really is what we need to call it.

1:38.8

Is to think of British households having variable rate mortgages but with a ratchet effect.

1:46.8

So in the US, you borrow a 30-year mortgage and your interest rate is fixed for the entire length of the loan.

1:54.8

So for as long as you have it, your monthly payment will be the same.

1:58.8

Whereas in the UK, you will spread your principal repayment out over 30 years.

2:06.8

But in terms of the interest rate that you pay, you might only fix that for two or five years at a time.

2:12.8

And then basically it becomes variable at the end of that because you refinance on to another two or five year fixed deal at the prevailing interest rate.

2:22.8

So the reason that there's a crisis in the UK mortgage market right now is that anyone who refinance their mortgage in recent years when the interest rates are historically low.

2:34.8

So ideally if they did serve over the two, three years ago when rates for the two year fixed period, where as low as 1.5%.

...

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