This is the Friends of History Debating Society. I am Gaius, John Bachelor.

Germanicus, Michael Leos is here. We're looking at two

offensives announced. One, Russia's offensive in the springtime, raising, we're told 100,000 new recruits,

we're told pouring weaponry into the front lines again, we're told Russia means to consolidate its

position in Novaricea. That may mean from Kharkiv to Odessa. The other offensive, we're told, will be against the Raffa operation in

the southern part of Gaza, where we're told there are four battalions of Hamas still organized underground

or in some fashion hiding underneath or behind human shields of up to a million Palestinians were told. All of that, these two

offensive that we're waiting on, the larger story then becomes NATO and what is

NATO preparing for beyond the offensive if it comes in

Ukraine beyond the offensive if it comes in Raffa.

Germanicus a very good evening to you.

These are the moments where planning logistics deliver the front lines, but history says we've

been here before, find an analogy. You've been watching Ukraine

very closely for months. The advantage now is clearly with Russia. The Ukrainian forces are depleted, unable to gather enough

men to fill the trenches. The weapon systems may be arriving. We don't know, we're told they're not.

Congress may change its mind.

The Biden administration is in a re-election mode,

so their decisions are always colored by what does it mean for the vote

on this state or that state.

How do you measure Russia's position at this point?

Is it waiting for Kief to surrender? Is it planning to

launch this offensive after all this talk? Good evening to you, Germanicus.

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