This is the Friends of History Debating Society. I am Gaius, John Bachelor.

Germanicus, Michael Laius is here.

Right now we're dealing with headlines out of London that are stark.

How US Military Aid package could fort Russia's summer offensive.

And Mike Johnson faces Ousting as US Speaker over Ukraine's support.

And US can send fresh weapons to Ukraine quote within days

and 60 billion military aid for Ukraine approved and US on cusp of passing major aid package for Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan, and China fuels

Russia's war in Ukraine, and Britain could pledge new air defense package for Ukraine in weeks and my favorite

Germanicus Ukrainian soldiers trained in UK given free cigarettes under Ministry of

Defence Deal there you have at the 21st century cigarettes under Ministry of Defense Deal.

There you have it, the 21st century.

We're training soldiers with free cigarettes.

Tremannicus, the packages passed.

The cavalry is riding to the rescue. What next? Good evening to you. Good evening,

guys. The next is... Well, the past is the future, essentially. It's not just prologue, but what we're heading

into is where we've been, where we are going in the context of the Russo-Ukrainian War.

The only impact that this aid will have in terms of the course of that war will be to potentially prolong it by a few months.

And the longer that the aid, if indeed it is effective in doing so, prolongs the war, the more casualties

Ukraine will take and those casualties will continue to mount at the level of 30,000 plus a month.

So the math is grim for Ukraine given the manpower situation that they're laboring under right now it'll only get

much worse and Ukraine will have that many hundreds of thousands of fewer men, however much longer the war continues.

As to the utility of the aid, it is essential for Ukraine in one existential important way.

...