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The John Batchelor Show

#Londinium90AD: Gaius and Germanicus consider the probability of a Ukrainian victor. Michael Vlahos. Friends of History Debating Society.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

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4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 3 April 2023

⏱️ 13 minutes

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#Londinium90AD: Gaius and Germanicus consider the probability of a Ukrainian victor. Michael Vlahos. Friends of History Debating Society.

https://news.yahoo.com/zelenskyy-only-ukraines-victory-put-170924569.html






Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Friends of History Debating Society. I am Gaya's John Bachelor. I welcome

0:04.7

Dramanicus, my colleague and friend of many years. He is Mark of Lejos. When Londonium,

0:11.2

it's the spring of 91 AD. The Empire is fine. Thank you very much. Dimission is troubled.

0:17.9

Our Emperor, however, because Augustus, the God Augustus, did such a good job in putting the

0:23.7

Empire together initially. We feel very confident here in Londonium. Our security, our prosperity,

0:30.7

our future, at least the next hundred years, looks to be stable. However, we have a gift or a curse.

0:39.3

We can see twenty centuries ahead. And Gaya, Dramanicus and I gather here on the weekends,

0:46.0

we don't work. We have Greek Friedman who do all the work on our estate. We gather here to

0:52.3

speculate about what is the future for Europe, which is what Rome created for Europe,

1:03.0

twenty centuries from now, during the Ukraine conflict and afterwards.

1:07.5

Dramanicus, we begin with speculation. What if? What if Ukraine wins? And I don't have a clear

1:17.7

definition of what that win will look like, but the perception of winning. Russia stands down,

1:25.1

Ukraine stands down. They negotiate in some fashion. And it's perceived that Ukraine has outlasted

1:32.7

the Russian Empire. What does Europe look like after that eventuality? Good evening to Dramanicus.

1:39.8

Good evening, Gaya. And that is, of course, an extremely difficult question to work through in

1:48.4

large part because it remains at this moment from at least my vantage through the aperture

1:58.0

that I am viewing the world, that that is an extremely hypothetical possibility. So the first

2:06.7

approach that we must take to the possibility of a Ukrainian victory would be to look at what would

2:15.6

what would be needed for the Ukrainians to win. And I don't mean simply material or plans or

2:24.0

even intelligence or weather, but what would they need and what would need to attain in other

2:33.4

dimensions of the conflict for them to be successful in this long advertised, much

2:42.0

ballyhooed spring offensive. That every judgment of the Ukrainian boosters from those in the

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