Well, howdy there, Internet people, it's Bell again.

So today, we're going to talk about Trump's recession by design.

Mark Zandi is the chief economist at Moody's Analytics, and he provided a pretty interesting

view of the current U.S. economic situation, on top of a pretty clear estimate of what he thinks will

happen. He also reiterated two points we've been making here. Okay, so what did he say?

Quote, look, the recession risks are uncomfortably high, and they're rising. I think they're

less than 50-50, but it really

does depend on the president and what he does here. You know, I think if he continues to push on

the tariffs, like, for example, right now, there's a lot of talk about reciprocal tariffs.

That's broad-based tariffs coming into effect in a couple weeks, I think,

early April. If that actually happens, and those tariffs stay in place for any length of time,

a couple, three, four, five months, I think that's enough to push the economy into recession,

given everything else that's going on. So, you know, this would be,

this would be a really weird recession, right? I mean, it's recession by design. Recession by design.

Weird indeed. What a phrase. Humpty Dumpty didn't fall. He was pushed. He seems to be saying that if

Trump follows through with his tariff plans, Humpty will splat on the ground in at most five months.

But he does seem to think there's a chance Trump backs down. Quote, you know, the economy came into the year rip-roaring,

exceptionally strong, and we're pushing it in because of policy. It just doesn't feel like,

you know, that's the direction we need to go. So I suspect the president and the administration

at some point will say, okay, enough already.

But you know, I don't see that with confidence. And those recession risks are high.

Republicans are going to lose their minds at the idea of the chief economist at Moody's analytics,

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