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Belle of the Ranch

Let's talk about Trump's pick following the market and 2 questions from y'all...

Belle of the Ranch

Belle of the Ranch

Society & Culture

4.91K Ratings

🗓️ 21 June 2026

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Let's talk about Trump's pick following the market and 2 questions from y'all...

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Well howdy there, internet people. It's Bell again.

0:05.0

So today, we're going to talk about Trump's pick and the market guiding the Fed.

0:12.0

We're going to answer a question from one of you, with another question from one of you.

0:18.0

Fair warning. This is going to be an information-dense video, focusing on the

0:24.2

economy. But even if you're not an investor or part of that class, it's important to understand

0:30.9

the discussion. Here's the first one. Bell, you seem to disapprove of letting the market guide the Fed and seem to want the forward

0:40.7

guidance to stay in place. I've heard Warsh and other people say that it creates a feedback loop,

0:48.0

where the market is reacting to the Fed instead of economic indicators. It made sense to me. Can you explain why you think

0:57.0

the market shouldn't lead the way in normal language?

1:02.0

Okay, so what's driving this question? The Federal Reserve was in the habit of hinting

1:09.0

about what it saw coming on the horizon.

1:12.7

This was referred to as forward guidance. Warsh wants to end that and said, quote,

1:20.6

Financial market prices are probably the most important source of information to guide central

1:26.6

bankers. But when all the financial markets

1:30.3

are doing is reflecting back what we've said, then we're taking the most important source of information

1:37.3

and we're being blind to it. Warsh's belief is that the markets are looking at what the central bank thinks will happen

1:47.0

and making decisions based on that.

1:50.0

He thinks the central bank should look at the markets instead

1:54.0

and make decisions based on what investors are doing.

1:58.0

If investors invested rather than speculated, that would be one thing.

2:05.2

But here's another question from one of you. Hi, Abel. Nobody cares about your negative comments,

2:13.1

as I said. I bought into SpaceX, and now I'm putting in more. The stocks are going to the moon

...

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