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Beau of The Fifth Column

Let's talk about Trump’s inflation numbers being doubted by the big names....

Beau of The Fifth Column

Beau of The Fifth Column

Society & Culture

4.8965 Ratings

🗓️ 19 December 2025

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Let's talk about Trump’s inflation numbers being doubted by the big names....

Transcript

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0:00.0

Well, howdy there, Internet people, it's Bell again. So today, we're going to talk about Trump's

0:09.4

inflation numbers, being doubted by the big names. The new inflation report was interesting to say the

0:18.0

least. The report came out and showed CPI at 2.7%. The market expectation was that it was going to come in around 3.1%. Immediately, Trump supporters started doing victory laps. Retail investors generally accepted it at face value because they wanted to.

0:39.6

A lot of liberals sent questions asking if Trump was cooking the books,

0:44.2

and the big names in finance started pressing X to doubt.

0:49.4

There is definitely a lot of skepticism coming from big financial houses. And we'll get to that,

0:56.1

but we need to touch on some other things first. A 2.7% reading would be amazing, but it's

1:04.4

different from the expectation by a drastic amount. Remember, the market runs on estimates, and when those estimates are off by a large amount,

1:15.0

the market should have a negative reaction because the estimate being off by that much

1:20.6

means that they've missed something major about the economy. But that didn't happen. There wasn't a negative reaction. Why? Because retail

1:32.4

investors are running on emotions, pushing price to earnings to dangerously high levels. And because,

1:39.8

frankly, a lot of the big houses don't believe the report. Is that because Trump cooked the

1:46.6

books? Not exactly. Michael Hansen, who is a senior economist at J.P. Morgan, explain that the

1:54.9

numbers coming in lower than expected, quote, suggests that the BLS may have held fixed a number of prices it was not able to

2:05.4

collect in October, which likely means a material downward bias in the current numbers that will

2:12.6

be reversed in coming months as full price collection resumes.

2:18.3

Clear is mud, right?

2:20.3

We can't just say things in English when it comes to economics.

2:24.3

Here's the translation.

2:26.3

Because of the government shutdown,

2:28.3

BLS had to estimate October numbers instead of using hard numbers coming from the normal survey data

2:36.2

collection process. They estimated wrong, but it'll show up later. Meanwhile, Diane Swank, who is the

...

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