4.8 • 965 Ratings
🗓️ 12 June 2025
⏱️ 4 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Let's talk about Trump's Byrd Bath Beginning....
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0:00.0 | Well, howdy there, Internet people, it's Bell again. |
0:05.0 | So today, we're going to talk about Trump's bird bath beginning. |
0:11.0 | For a while, we've talked about how the budget reconciliation process in the Senate contains a rule called the bird rule, |
0:19.0 | and that the capital hill speak name for the process is a bird bath. |
0:23.7 | The bird rule basically just says that to be part of the budget reconciliation process and |
0:29.4 | avoid the filibuster, the provisions in the bill have to actually be about the budget. |
0:35.5 | The Senate parliamentarian makes the call on whether provisions violate the |
0:39.8 | bird rule. In detail, there are six ways of provision can get scrapped. And I'm going to turn this |
0:46.4 | into normal language and limit the use of Capitol Hill speak. First, it doesn't produce a change |
0:53.4 | in money coming in or out. Second, it doesn't produce a change in money coming in or out. |
0:56.0 | Second, it increases money spent or decreases money coming in when the relevant committee isn't following its instructions in the blueprint. |
1:06.0 | Third, the provision is outside the jurisdiction of the committee that proposed it fourth this one will be |
1:13.8 | important it changes money going out or coming in but that is merely incidental to the non-budgetary parts of the |
1:21.9 | provision fifth it increases the deficit for a fiscal year beyond the window. |
1:28.7 | Sixth, this will explain why I haven't produced a bunch of videos |
1:33.0 | screaming doom for Social Security in the budget reconciliation package. |
1:38.2 | It recommends changes to Social Security. |
1:41.5 | That's right. |
1:42.7 | They can't come after Social Security in the budget reconciliation |
1:46.1 | package. They might try through another bill, though. Back to that fourth one. They can't do |
1:53.4 | something that is just using the budget reconciliation process as a method of changing major policy. |
2:00.5 | This is the point where those who are on a doomed spiral say, |
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