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Belle of the Ranch

Let's talk about Trump, Biden, and keys to the White House ....

Belle of the Ranch

Belle of the Ranch

Society & Culture

4.91K Ratings

🗓️ 6 July 2024

⏱️ 8 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Let's talk about Trump, Biden, and keys to the White House ....

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Well, howdy there internet people, let's bow again. So today we're going to talk about

0:06.0

the keys to the White House and a system. And we'll also mention the fact that this is definitely the most requested video because I got a couple hundred messages about it.

0:22.0

Okay. hundred messages about it. Okay, so there is a professor and this professor has a system for predicting the outcome of elections.

0:35.0

His name is Lichtman.

0:39.0

The two questions that are in the messages

0:41.0

are just generally about it and what the current predictions are and how I

0:46.2

feel about it.

0:48.6

Me, I think a lot of this is very subjective by appearance.

0:57.0

That being said, when it comes to the Bostra Damadama stuff when it comes to conflict.

1:05.0

If I was to make a chart on how I do that,

1:10.0

the one word used to describe it would be subjective. So that doesn't really help.

1:17.3

What about a track record of success?

1:20.3

Going back to 1984, every election except for one

1:28.0

was able to accurately predict the person who won.

1:32.4

The one that he got wrong, he said Gore was going to win.

1:38.0

When you have a 90% track record and the one error is something that has a massive

1:48.3

extenuating circumstance, I mean I'm inclined to give it to him. I mean that's that was definitely a unique

1:58.2

situation. Okay so how does this system work? There are 13 keys and it's for the incumbent

2:06.9

party. If the incumbent party has eight of the keys or more, they win.

2:15.0

It's really simple.

2:17.0

The keys are true false statements.

2:29.7

So if there are eight trues or more, they win. What are the 13 keys? The first is party mandate. Now again that's one of those things that sounds

...

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