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Belle of the Ranch

Let's talk about polls, news, and safety in numbers....

Belle of the Ranch

Belle of the Ranch

Society & Culture

4.91K Ratings

🗓️ 20 September 2024

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Let's talk about polls, news, and safety in numbers....

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Well, howdy there internet people, it's Bell again.

0:04.0

So today we're going to talk about polls and safety in numbers,

0:08.0

but not the way your mom used to talk about it.

0:11.0

We've been getting a lot of questions over the last few weeks

0:15.0

about why so many outlets seem focused on polls, why they put out so much content on them,

0:20.9

and why people are so interested in them even though polls aren't

0:25.4

predictive but rather a snapshot of a single point in time and that's in their

0:30.6

best case assuming they were done correctly.

0:34.1

The answer has less to do with politics and more to do with psychology.

0:39.3

Numbers give us an idea of what to expect.

0:42.7

And I'm not really talking about what to expect with the election.

0:46.4

I'm talking about the immediate here and now.

0:49.8

Humans are creatures whose brains crave certainty.

0:53.2

We find quantifiable things, known things, comforting.

0:57.4

Because of this little quirk of human nature,

1:00.3

news outlets use it to their advantage.

1:03.0

Let me give you four reasons why.

1:06.0

Did you see what I did there?

1:08.0

You're certainly familiar with that headline style.

1:11.0

Numbered lists let us know what to expect. They let us quantify the information

1:16.3

we're about to receive because it gives us certainty. There's a widespread

1:21.5

belief that we're more likely to click on a link with a number.

...

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