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Belle of the Ranch

Let's talk about Nvidia, swans, stocks, and appetizers....

Belle of the Ranch

Belle of the Ranch

Society & Culture

4.91K Ratings

🗓️ 2 February 2025

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Let's talk about Nvidia, swans, stocks, and appetizers....

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Well, howdy there, internet people, it spell again.

0:04.0

So today, we're going to talk about NVIDIA, stocks, swans, and appetizers.

0:11.0

So, this is one I've been trying to get out all week, but dumpster fires kept erupting.

0:17.0

If you missed it, NVIDIA took a pretty big hit on the stock market, and by pretty big,

0:23.1

I mean the largest single-day market cap loss in history.

0:28.0

If you're not familiar with the company, it's a tech company, heavily involved in AI.

0:33.5

That massive loss spurred on by the announcement of a Chinese AI platform led to this question.

0:40.2

So, I lost a lot of money today.

0:43.0

That was fun.

0:44.4

Line go down and the whole time I was watching it happen, I was thinking about your Black Swan video for New Year's.

0:52.2

You know, the one where you said you thought there would be a market

0:55.7

correction led by AI stocks that might even approach crash range. I'm looking at 400 billion

1:04.0

or so in market cap decline on an AI stock. First, is this what you thought was going to happen? Or is this something else? Second,

1:14.9

what are the lotto numbers? For the news, it finally stopped falling with about a $593 billion

1:23.6

loss in market cap, which is around a 15 to 16% loss. Market cap stands for market

1:31.8

capitalization. It's the value of a company's outstanding shares. It's a good metric for the current

1:38.8

acceptable value of a company. But as you can see, that can change by half a trillion dollars in a day. Okay, so now

1:48.2

on to the question. This seems like it's just a massive overreaction to the news out of China.

1:54.8

But it convinced me, I'm not out of my mind. The market is overvalued. We're at 208% on the Buffett indicator, and people

2:04.5

are running on emotions. To me, this shows that once Trumpian economic policies take hold,

2:10.9

and then there's a moment that sparks panic, we're in for a correction at least. A correction

2:17.0

is a 10% or more, but less than 20% decline in market

...

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